Outkick Election Pollwatch: President Trump Closing In

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Each week, Outkick will update you on the latest polls for the 2020 Presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Here are the most recent polls from Real Clear Politics:

While Biden continues to hold a lead, Trump is showing encouraging signs.

A recent CNBC poll shows Trump closing in on Biden in key swing states:

  • Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 47%
  • Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
  • Michigan: Biden 50%, Trump 44%
  • North Carolina: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
  • Pennsylvania: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
  • Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 44%

Among independent voters, President Donald Trump leads Biden by 10 points, per CBS News/YouGov America. As Outkick explained:

“Of the 957 registered voters surveyed, 47% of the independents said that they would vote for Trump; 37% said Democratic presidential nominee Biden.

“97% of participants, who identified as independents, said they plan to vote in November. That same percentage described their support for Biden or Trump as either “very strong – I’ve decided,” or “strong – I probably won’t change.”

Additionally, in an August CNN survey, Trump cut a 14-point June deficit down to just 4 points.

Translation: this race is wide open.

69. More. Days. To. Go.

Written by Bobby Burack

Bobby Burack is a writer for OutKick where he reports and analyzes the latest topics in media, culture, sports, and politics..

Burack has become a prominent voice in media and has been featured on several shows across OutKick and industry related podcasts and radio stations.

5 Comments

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  1. How many points do you figure in for people who don’t want to tell people they’re voting for Trump? Most of those people just won’t respond to polls; others lie, they don’t have enough respect for most media at this point to be bothered by it.

    A similar adjustment needs to be considered for yard signs and bumper stickers in some areas. I don’t recall hearing of a Biden voter getting attacked for showing their support. But Trump voters know that wearing the red hat, having a yard sign, or having a bumper sticker are likely to get them assaulted, or their property vandalized, in many areas of the country.

  2. Registered independent – voted Gary last time, voting Trump this time. The party that was once the party of the blue-collar working class is now the party of virtue signaling, identity politics, and free shit. I was happy Biden got the nomination over Bernie (for obvious reasons) but half the time Biden doesn’t even know what planet he is on. No way if he wins he’s going to run a “moderate” platform.

  3. Trump’s approval with Republicans is in the 90s. He leads Biden by 10 percent among Independents. Yet he still trails Biden overall? How is that so? When it comes to polls a basic rule of thumb is, if it shows Biden ahead by 4 points or less then Trump is actually ahead.

  4. I voted for Trump last time and I’ll be voting him again, and everyone I know who voted for him last time will be doing so again. And the RNC has absolutely knocked it out of the park with the convention the last 2 evenings and I can’t to watch more tonight. They lying, fraudulent fake news media can keep making up stuff, about the convention and continue to lie and call Trump a racist, however, folks can see with their own eyes that he’s not racist. And the more maniacal and desperate the attacks are from the fake news, that means they are getting more scared that Trump will win re-election and even though they will not admit it, they know there have been powerful messages delivered from the RNC convention that will resonate with voters.

    I agree, most Trump supporters or independents will not respond to polls, the polls are laughably fake. And I do not believe for a second that Trump will only get 8% of the black vote. More and more, I’m seeing and black conservatives on TV, YouTube, Podcasts, etc….and even seeing the turnaround from Leo Terrell, who appears on Hannity, and is now a huge Trump supporter, that is stunning and wonderful to see. I think Trump will get at least 20% of the black vote, if not more. And I think he increases his percentage from the Latino vote.

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