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ProFootballDoc: Top Actionable Injury Issues for NFL Week 13

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Injury analysis paid off on Thursday with the Saints sub 50 offensive SIC Score leading to an easy victory/cover for the Cowboys, but that does not count in our 31-28-1 overall record against the spread.

SIC Score is our proprietary numerical injury grading system that incorporates the health of every NFL team and individual players to give sports bettors , DFS players and fantasy owners an edge each week during the season. While it purposely doesn’t take into account coaching, schemes or matchups, SIC Scores give an accurate assessment of team/player overall health heading into a game.

At this point of the season we try to rely more on recent injury trends and cluster injuries rather than overall health score. Here are the top five actionable health advantages with Saturday night FanDuel lines followed by a few honorable mentions.

MIAMI -6.5 vs NY GIANTS

The Dolphins have been healthy and play good defense but now their offense gets healthier. Tua Tagovailoa’s finger injury is behind him and he also gets his No. 1 receiver DeVante Parker as well as his starting center back. The Giants will start Mike Glennon at QB and be missing a couple wide receivers and offensive linemen. This combines for almost a 20 point SIC Score team edge with Miami on the rise and New York on the fall.

DETROIT +7.5 vs MINNESOTA

Yes, the Lions are winless but by trend, they get healthier while the Vikings are falling. Everyone knows Dalvin Cook is out, but our worry lies more with the best defender at each level missing with Danielle Hunter, Eric Kendricks and Patrick Peterson out. While the Lions get some cornerback help, they are still short at linebacker. This could be a higher scoring affair (over 46.5) and we expect Detroit to keep pace and maybe even finally get lucky.

LAS VEGAS -1.5 vs WASHINGTON

The focus may be on Darren Waller being out with DeSean Jackson and Josh Jacobs questionable but the Raiders on the strength of their defense are still the healthier squad by 15.5 on the SIC Score scale. Washington will be without their top two pass rushers and will have offensive line issues including starting a fourth string center.

JACKSONVILLE +13 @ LA RAMS

The Jaguars get almost two touchdowns while being the slightly healthier side. The Rams dip this week with Darrell Henderson, Jr. limited (or out) with a quad injury who then turn to Sony Michel. Odell Beckham, Jr. should play thru his posterior hip pointer but has yet to get fully acclimated to his new team while being limited in his practice time. Not expecting Jacksonville to put off the road upset but they can hang with the struggling Rams.

KANSAS CITY vs DENVER under 47

The Chiefs are the healthier side but we are impressed with how the Broncos get healthier defensively with a 24 point defensive SIC Score jump. Add to that Kansas City now has a healthy defense that has recently carried them, this could end up being a lower scoring divisional game. Melvin Gordon is out but Teddy Bridgewater will play thru his leg contusion. We lean towards the Chiefs (-10) but the Field View shows the under to be the stronger play.

Go to www.profootballdoc.com to see the Field View and SIC Scores yourself and see why the next three are honorable mention plays.

PHILADELPHIA -5.5 with Gardner Minschew the starting QB at NY JETS.

INDIANAPOLIS -10 at HOUSTON but the Texans get two starters back off IR.

SEATTLE +3.5 with a healthy Russell Wilson vs SAN FRANCISCO.

Written by Pro Football Doc

David Chao, MD -- known digitally as Pro Football Doc -- is an expert contributor for Outkick. Chao spent 17 seasons as the team doctor for the San Diego Chargers (1997-2013) and is part of the medical team at OASIS in San Diego where he treats and specializes in orthopedic sports injuries, working with high-profile professional athletes from the NFL, NBA, and MLB.

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