Videos by OutKick
Injury analysis led us to some solid easy wins this week. For example, we laid the seven points against the team which had the best record in the AFC for an easy Patriots cover. The Bills also trounced the Saints, who have a record low offensive SIC score. However, there were also some hard “losses” like a blocked punt for a TD, costing us the MIA/CAR under.
We don’t count bonus picks like the easy SF/MIN over, which drops our overall record to 31-28-1 against the spread through 12 weeks (five per week) using just the health advantages.
Tonight’s matchup has a clear, healthier side as well.
SEATTLE +1 versus WASHINGTON
The Seahawks are the healthier squad and have a clear advantage on defense as all starters will play. Russell Wilson’s middle finger should be a non-issue by now, though it carries a relatively high SIC score of 92. The running backs are an issue for Seattle with Chis Carson (neck), Rashaad Penny (hamstring) and Travis Homer (calf) out while Alex Collins plays through a groin strain.
Washington will miss three key defensive starters, including Chase Young, who recently tore his ACL. On offense, Taylor Heinicke has done well in place of Ryan Fitzpatrick, but he will miss two offensive line starters. Logan Thomas is scheduled to return from a hamstring strain, but his back is dubious. Curtis Samuel has struggled with his core muscle surgery recovery and groin issue, but Terry McLaurin is solid. Antonio Gibson is hanging in there but still dealing with his tibial stress fracture.
Use the Field View to make your own decisions, but Seattle overall is over 16 points healthier on the team SIC score at www.profootballdoc.com and this should be a breakout game for Wilson and his previously ailing finger.