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Clemson and Notre Dame did not disappoint us last weekend providing an instant classic for college football fans. Unfortunately for the Tigers, it moved them out of the No. 2 slot, making room for Alabama to overtake them. We’ll obviously see if the reinsertion of QB Trevor Lawrence can be enough to eventually get Dabo Swinney’s club back where they belong since they still very much control their own destiny in a quest for the College Football Playoff. Meanwhile there was minor movement elsewhere in the Top 10 with Florida sliding up to No. 5 after their upset win at Georgia, while Oklahoma and BYU made modest moves.
Our overrated program this week actually started their season off in the underrated section, but that’s just to illustrate how quickly public perception can change in this great sport. One ACC up and comer remains underrated in our eyes while the Best Bet this week was originally headed to Conference USA but took a detour to Chestnut Hill. As always, check below to see our Top 10 and where we see value this week!
Bet the Board Top 10 Week 11:
1.) Ohio State
4.) Notre Dame
Before their season opener against the Nittany Lions, we had Indiana pegged as an extremely underrated team, and they made our Best Bet list, winning outright as a 7/6.5-point dog. Now, after a 3-0 start with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, and Michigan, the Hoosiers are sitting pretty at No. 10 in the country essentially becoming the belle of the ball. We fully understand that wins are the be all end all in sports as it pertains to rankings, but we still don’t have Indiana inside of our Top 15. The Hoosiers are a net negative 0.2 yards per play this season, with the offense only averaging a pedestrian 4.9 yards per play. They’ve been great inside the red zone with a 100% scoring percentage, however regression at this point is inevitable. Indiana is currently 8th in the country in turnover margin per game (+2.0), as their opponents have been very generous this year. Speaking of opponents, Penn State and Michigan preseason looked like they were legitimate Top 20 teams, yet those early wins aren’t looking quite as impressive as we once thought they would be. We are not advocating that Indiana is a total fraud, but we are slaves to the betting market, and right now, Hoosier stock is at an all-time high in the eye of the general public.
Underrated: Boston College
We’ll happily admit that if you told us back in the preseason we’d be discussing the positives of the Boston College football program, you’d get a major laugh. However our often-ignored college football brethren in the northeast have played some solid football thus far and not yet commanding proper respect. Their three losses are to Clemson, Virginia Tech, and UNC, all of whom we have squarely inside of our Top 30. The Clemson and UNC games were coin flips late in the 4th quarter, and if a couple bounces went their way, the Eagles could be 7-1. QB Phil Jurkovec has exceeded expectations thus far throwing for 7.4 yards per pass attempt with 15 TDs to only 4 interceptions. This team does nothing exceptionally well but plays solid on both sides of the ball. They will be put to the test this weekend against Notre Dame at home, and we’ll see if Boston College garners attention from other professional bettors. Our dream of getting +14 won’t happen, but we have a better angle worth attacking…
Best Bet: BC 1st Half +7