We had another winning week, our fifth straight week of winners, on the OutKick weekly college football picks. While we only went 7-6 — thanks, LSU, for the collapse in the late game after being up 13-0 and 19-10 — we are now sitting at 35-21 on the year. That’s a 63% winning percentage as we approach the halfway point of the college football season.
Yes, believe it or not, after Saturday, many college football teams will have already completed half of their regular season.
I say it every year, but college football is the most intense and shortest season of any sport out there. It feels like MLB, NHL and the NBA seasons, for instance, never end, yet college football is here and gone faster than any other major sport in America. With that in mind, we have to add on more steam this week and make it a phenomenal six straight weeks of winners.
Fortunately for you, I’ve got 14 winners for you again this weekend. #respectthepicks #shootersshoot #getrichkids Get your bets in now, including a no risk $1000 bet for new users.
Here we go with 14-0:
Coastal Carolina -19 at Arkansas State
Jamey Chadwell’s Coastal Carolina squad just keeps quietly mauling everyone you put in front of them. They’ve had one close game all year at Buffalo. Otherwise, it has been massacre after massacre.
Now they go on the road against a Butch Jones coached Arkansas State team that has given up 55, 52, 41, and 59 in their last four games.
My prediction? Chadwell’s squad goes for 50+ and covers the 19 with ease.
Stanford +12.5 at Arizona State
If you give me David Shaw and this many points in a Pac-12 game, I feel like he can almost always find a way to keep it close.
Last week, I told you I liked Stanford to beat Oregon. This week, I love Stanford to cover at Arizona State.
By the way, has everyone forgotten about Herm Edwards at Arizona State? Remember when he was hired and almost immediately the hire was ridiculed high and low on social media?
Well, he’s 4-1 — his only loss is to undefeated BYU — and he’s got the Sun Devils as a legit threat to win the Pac-12 this year.
Not too shabby at all.
Having said all that, he’s not covering this weekend.
Oklahoma vs. Texas +3.5
I believe the Longhorns win this game outright on Saturday.
Partly that’s me buying into what Steve Sarkisian’s Longhorns have done since getting whipped by Arkansas, but this is also an indictment of Oklahoma. The Sooners have failed to beat any FBS opponent by more than a touchdown so far this season.
Now in their toughest game of the season, you expect for them to suddenly cover a field goal line?
I just don’t see it.
Hook ’em wins outright. (But I’ll take the +3.5 just to be safe).
Michigan State -4.5 at Rutgers
Last week, I thought Rutgers would cover against Ohio State and I thought Michigan State might stumble against Western Kentucky.
I was wrong on both counts.
So this weekend I’m going back to Mel Tucker’s Spartans as they continue to put their perfect record on the line. They leave Rutgers with a win by a touchdown and Mel Tucker is 6-0.
Maryland +21 at Ohio State
This is a buy low scenario for Maryland. Did you see the disaster last Friday in College Park? Maryland was a three point home underdog and they proceeded to turn the ball over seven times — SEVEN! — against Iowa and get absolutely dominated by the Hawkeyes at home.
This week, they go on the road against Ohio State, who is coming off a dominant win over Rutgers. The result? (I mean aside from Urban Meyer having a field day with blondes in the bar?) This line feels inflated to me.
Maryland isn’t an awful team. I think the Terrapins keep it inside of 17. With 21 points to spare, that makes you a winner.
Georgia at Auburn +15
I feel nervous even typing this bet in. Why? Because this means I’m betting, in at least some small measure, on Auburn quarterback Bo Nix against this excellent Georgia defense.
Nix sliced and diced his way through the LSU defense this past weekend and now he’s going up against, potentially, the best defense in college football. This feels like a ‘Nix turns the ball over five times’ game. But it also feels like Nix might be on a roll and keep it close. Honestly, this guy is impossible to predict. He’s like Stephen Garcia without the alcohol, the kind of player who makes you feel dumb, no matter what happens in the game. Bet on him? How could you bet on Bo Nix?! Don’t bet on him? Of course, Bo Nix plays the game of his life!
So why do I feel like this one could be close? Because Georgia’s due for a bit of a test at some point, and I feel like this game is it.
That doesn’t mean Auburn wins, but it does mean I think the Tigers cover the spread.
War Eagle! (I hope).
South Carolina at Tennessee -10.5
Last week, the Tennessee offense came alive against Missouri, posting 62 points and rushing for over 450 yards, including scoring on nine straight possessions. It was an eye opening performance for the Josh Heupel offense. So eye opening that I’m willing to back the Vols here as a big double digit home favorite.
Ultimately, this bet is pretty simple. I don’t think South Carolina’s offense is capable of scoring, and I think the Vol offense is capable of scoring in bunches. Which means if Tennessee can dictate pace and tempo, which I think they can, this game could get out of hand. The Vols pull away in the second half to win by two touchdowns or more, and Josh Heupel gets the Vols to 4-2 with Lane Kiffin coming to town for a big night game in Neyland.
Vanderbilt at Florida -38
My prediction for the Commodores?
Florida choked away the game at Kentucky on the offensive side of the ball — Kentucky scored 13 of their 20 points off turnovers — and I think Dan Mullen returns to the Swamp and unleashes on a Vandy team that struggled to beat UConn over the weekend.
It’s going to be ugly in Gainesville.
Florida by 45 or more.
Arkansas +6 at Ole Miss
This is a tough game to bet because both Arkansas and Ole Miss disappointed me last weekend in big road contests against Georgia and Alabama. I expected both teams to be able to keep it relatively close and that didn’t happen.
So why am I taking Arkansas here?
I think the Razorbacks bounce back and keep this a game until very late, maybe even stealing a road victory in Oxford.
Woo pig over Hotty Toddy.
Penn State at Iowa, the under 42
Get ready for an old school Big Ten football game on Saturday afternoon.
Provided both teams can avoid turning the ball over in bunches, I just don’t see many points out there to be had for either team.
The winner of this game, especially if it’s Iowa, takes a massive midway season step towards the Big Ten title game and potential inclusion in the Playoff.
I’m not sure who is ready to take that step, but the final score will be 17-14. If I’m right, the winner won’t matter because you’ll have already hit the under by ten points.
LSU +3.5 at Kentucky and the under 50.5
I know the Ed Orgeron hot seat talk is on fire right now and the coaching hot boards are lighting up all over the bayou.
But absent Bo Nix playing the game of his life, LSU would have won comfortably in Baton Rouge last weekend.
Now LSU goes on the road against a Wildcat team that posted only 211 yards of total offense in their upset win over Florida.
The result? Everyone expects Kentucky to keep rolling and LSU to fall flat on their faces. Sure, that could happen, but I don’t buy LSU quitting right now. I think we’re in store for a defensive battle because Kentucky can’t score and LSU isn’t that explosive offensively.
So give me the Tigers and the under.
Michigan at Nebraska +3.5
The Wolverines are 5-0 and, miraculously, still not getting much media attention at all.
Meanwhile, Scott Frost’s Nebraska team has already played six games and has been a roller coaster ride sitting at 3-3. But in the past three weeks, Nebraska could have won at Oklahoma, probably should have won at Michigan State and destroyed Northwestern. The Cornhuskers are definitely getting better.
Now Michigan comes to town and this feels like a spot where the Wolverines are ripe for the upset.
Scott Frost gets the biggest win of his Nebraska coaching career and knocks off Michigan. (But just to be safe, I’ll also take the 3.5 points.)
Alabama -17 at Texas A&M
The OutKick bus tour will roll into Aggieland this weekend, and the story here feels pretty straightforward to me. Texas A&M’s offense isn’t good enough, I don’t believe, to give the Crimson Tide a real run.
I think this Nick Saban defense will stifle Jimbo Fisher’s offense, and the Tide will slowly strangle the life out of the Aggies.
Yes, I know, the crowd will be insane, but we saw that in Florida already. And what did Alabama do? They came out and took a 21-3 lead. Only this time I don’t think there will be a big rally on the backside here by the Aggies.
I’ve got the Tide to cover and win big.
There you have it. Get rich, kids.