NCAAF Best Bets for Saturday, September 18, 2021

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College Football is already in week three and we keep learning more and more about teams. I’m excited to see what we learn this week. What we can earn is money from a win from a side, an over, an under, and an underdog.

Alabama at Florida

We’ve already seen Clemson lose – although that was to a worthy Georgia team. We’ve seen Ohio State lose to a good Oregon team. Will Alabama take a tumble this week? Not likely. Look, I have nothing against Florida, but Alabama is the cream of the NCAA Football crop. Both have strong defenses that are holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The biggest difference to me is Alabama has already played Miami and Florida hasn’t played a real challenge yet. Now the Gators face the biggest challenge. Florida will not be able to stop the Crimson Tide offense. One other factor to me that helps Alabama is that they have 8 returning starters to their defense. That consistency is great for them. Play Alabama -14.5 at -112.

Northwestern at. Duke

The Wildcats for Northwestern have struggled a bit out of the gate, losing a tough one to Michigan State and winning over Indiana State. Duke is the next task for Northwestern and they’ve played two teams that I wouldn’t consider the caliber of Northwestern. I do think that both teams have their bright spots. Northwestern has a strong rushing game, and Duke has a decent defense. This game though seems like it is on track to be a bit faster pace with the run game working for both teams and taking up chunk yardage. My play for this one is on the over 49.5 at -110.

Troy at Southern Mississippi

Four games have been played between these two teams. Exactly one game has gone over a total of 50 points and that was when Troy manhandled the Southern Jaguars. Now, to be honest, Southern Mississippi hasn’t played anyone either, but what they have done is averaged only 46 rush yards against them per game this season. Take away a running game from the average college football team and points will be hard to come by. Troy seems to be a pass-first team, but this still aligns to be a lower-scoring game. I’m taking the under 50.5 at -112.

Utah at San Diego State

So far this year, Utah has lost to BYU and beaten Weber State. San Diego State has beaten Arizona and New Mexico. The Utes look bad right now but are favored in the game against the Aztecs. In order to pull off this upset, the Aztecs will need to stop the Utes running game. Right now, Utah is averaging 190 yards per game and the Aztecs are allowing just 49.5 yards per game. With home-field advantage and as long as they can stop the turnovers, the Aztecs should win the game. Play San Diego State at +270.

Written by David Troy

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