How Many Abortions Texas’ 6-week Ban Could Prevent

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The divided Supreme Court voted 5-4 to deny an emergency appeal from abortion providers to block a Texas law that bans abortion after an unborn child’s heartbeat can be detected. In other words, a ban on most abortions will take effect in the state of Texas immediately. 

The Court’s decision has led some to speculate on just how many abortions Texas’ 6-week ban could prevent moving forward. According to preliminary estimates from Fox News, data suggests the number is high.

Projections from the outlet estimate that the Texas law could prevent roughly 132 procedures per day, or 4,009 per month. 

Meanwhile, anti-abortion advocates say the number could actually exceed 132 a day, citing a Guttmacher Institute’s 2017 study.

Tessa Longbons, a research associate at the anti-abortion Charlotte Lozier Institute, found that, according to CDC data, “33,841 abortions took place at 7 weeks’ gestation or later in 2018” in the state of Texas.

“We can estimate that Texas’s protecting life from the first heartbeat could save more than 33,000 lives per year. The number is possibly even higher.”

Planned Parenthood all but confirmed those numbers since its lawsuit claimed that roughly 85-90% of abortions occur after six weeks gestation.

There are, however, complications in confidently calculating how many abortion procedures Texas’ law could prevent. Some Texas women may cross state lines to obtain abortions after six weeks, which experts expect to occur. Still, it’s a step in the right direction.

Written by Bobby Burack

Bobby Burack is a writer for OutKick where he reports and analyzes the latest topics in media, culture, sports, and politics..

Burack has become a prominent voice in media and has been featured on several shows across OutKick and industry related podcasts and radio stations.


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  1. Well they can’t deny that vaccinated people still spread COVID, so not being vaccinated puts the risk on the person making the choice. The biggest effect of abortion is on a person who didn’t get to choose. If abortion was really “My body my choice” then it would be the woman that died, not the baby.

  2. There’s systemic racism alright, but it’s not coming from where the media and left tell you. Want to know where? If you looked on a map you would find an abnormal amount of these the abortion clinics in or around low income minority neighborhoods. When you hear the left speak about abortion rights the first group they bring up are black women who “need” abortions. Kind of makes you wonder who this is all designed for doesn’t it? Democrats sure seem eager to keep those abortion numbers up, especially for minorities don’t they? Maybe they’re even a little TOO eager to push such a thing huh? But hey, just listen to grandpa Biden because, “You ain’t black if you don’t vote Democrat!” It all makes me sick. Rest assured if the left is accusing others of systemic racism, it’s because they own the patents on it.

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