Caitlin Clark, Indiana Won't Lose Third Straight Game In Fever At Storm, Right?

Fade the face of the Association.

Caitlin Clark and her Indiana Fever (6-7) visit the Seattle Storm (9-5) Tuesday at 10 p.m. ET. Since Clark is playing, I might actually watch the WNBA Tuesday, and, if so, I'm definitely betting on the game. This is the first Fever-Storm meeting this year, and Seattle won the season series 3-1 last year, but both covered two games. 

The Storm are just -3 favorites, which has to be a "Caitlin Clark Tax" since she's the Association's most popular player. For context, Seattle was -5 and -9 in two home games vs. Indiana last year, and -3.5 favorites vs. the reigning WNBA champion New York Liberty Sunday in an 89-79 victory. 

Also, Indy scores 14.4 fewer points per game (PPG) on the road (89.9-75.5 PPG) this year. The Fever are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) over the last five games and 2-4 ATS on the road this season. The Storm, on the other hand, are 4-3 ATS at home and 5-1 ATS in their last six games. 

Related: CAITLIN CLARK SHOWS OFF ELITE PASSING, BUT STRUGGLES SHOOTING AGAIN IN LOSS TO ACES

Meanwhile, Clark is suffering through a "sophomore slump." She missed five games with an injury, her shooting percentages are down from everywhere on the floor, and her on/off net rating is slightly down from last season. Plus, Clark is less efficient on the road, where she averages 4.4 fewer PPG (21.0-17.6) in her career. 

Furthermore, Seattle has a better 3-point shooting rate with four players averaging 41+% from behind the arc, compared to Indiana, which has one lady (Lexie Hull) shooting better than 37.5% from deep. The Fever hit nearly three fewer 3-pointers per game on the road (9.7-7.0), too. 

Regardless, Seattle should win the battle for possessions. The Storm are second in offensive turnover rate (TOV%) and lead the WNBA in defensive TOV%, while Indy ranks sixth out of 13 WNBA teams in both. Finally, shooting comes and goes, but field-goal volume is predictive. 

Best Bet: Seattle Storm -3 (-115) via DraftKings, up to -4 

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Written by
Geoff Clark serves as OutKick’s sports betting guru. As a writer and host of OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark, he dives deep into the sports betting landscape and welcomes an array of sports betting personalities on his show to handicap America’s biggest sporting events. Previously, Clark was a writer/podcaster for USA TODAY's Sportsbook Wire website, handicapping all the major sports tentpoles with a major focus on the NFL, NBA and MLB. Clark graduated from St. John University.