Tailing This Is Not For The Faint Of Heart

White Sox vs. Twins, 7:40 ET

I don’t bet a ton on baseball futures. I don’t like having my money tied up for too long, and, to be quite honest, I am not great at them. Where I do tend to excel is betting on the day to day stuff. This has been a great year so far and I am hopeful that it will continue throughout the entire season. I bring this up because over the past few seasons, the AL Central has made me a good amount of money on daily betting, but I’ve been crushed with future betting. The White Sox, one of the worst teams in baseball, take on the Twins. 

How bad has my future betting been? I was all-in on the White Sox a couple years ago. I thought the pitching staff was great, the lineup was stacked – it was a disaster. Sure, I wasn’t the only one, but that really doesn’t mean anything. They are like heroin for me apparently because I even recommended this year that they would go over their win total. At this point, they are on pace to win under 25 games. 3-20. That’s their record. This team is alarmingly bad and they are in a major market. It simply shouldn’t be allowed. Look, I’m a Cubs fan, so I should hate the Sox, and I do when we play them, but this is an embarrassment to the city of Chicago, and they have the audacity to start talking about wanting a new stadium. Whatever, that shouldn’t be my focus here, so let’s look at the team. They are hitting .192 and have scored 50 runs this season. Read that again… .192 is their TEAM batting average. They have scored 50 runs in 23 games. The team’s pitching staff has a 5.14 ERA so they are getting no run support and they are allowing opponents to get whatever they want. Tonight they get Garrett Crochet to take the ball and he is just 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA. The good news is he has one of the three wins for the team. The bad news is that he’s allowed 12 earned runs over his last 7.2 innings. He has faced the Twins in the past and held them to three hits in 20 at-bats with none of them being more than a single. 

The Twins are better, but that’s not saying much, obviously. The team has a record of 9-13 for the season and certainly has a fair share of struggles. They aren’t exactly lighting the diamond on fire with their bats as they have just a .205 batting average. The Twins also haven’t sold off all of their players – something the Sox have done. They have also only scored 80 runs, which still is 30 more than today’s opponent, but let’s not act like this is a good offense either. Their pitching staff has been decent enough with a 4.12 ERA overall and a 1.26 WHIP. They still have beaten the White Sox the past two days 7-0 and 6-5. Joe Ryan is taking the ball for the Twins today and he has been one of the better starters for the Twins with a 3.57 ERA and two quality starts in his four outings. The White Sox hitters are actually pretty good against him with 15 hits in 57 chances. About half of those hits have been for extra bases. 

I’m going to go for it here. I’m going to take a shot on the White Sox. I’ll probably wake up tomorrow and want to punch myself, and I’ll even tell you – this is not a game I recommend you definitely follow unless you’re prepared to accept a loss on it. I do think the White Sox can win through five innings though. I like Crochet’s stuff for the most part and I think that Ryan is not a consistent enough pitcher to back. The White Sox, and other bad teams, are very profitable if you can find specific spots to bet on them. In my opinion, this is one of those spots. I’ll take the Sox, through five, at +140.

For more sports betting information and plays, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024