Outkick's College Football Gambling Picks For Week 11 2021
The college football and NFL gambling picks got back on a roll last weekend as we went 6-3 in the college football picks -- running our record back up to 57-55 on the year -- and we went 5-1 on the NFL Outkick Six Pack -- taking our season long tally to 32-23 on the year.
Combined we went 11-4.
Can we keep the roll going? Of course we can.
But first -- we will be in Knoxville this weekend for Georgia-Tennessee with the Outkick bus tour. We will be broadcasting from Calhoun's Restaurant down on the river by the Vol Navy. So I'd encourage you guys to come hang out with us and say hi as part of the pre-game action.
Now, let's get everyone rich.
We're going 9-0 on college football this weekend.
North Carolina at Pittsburgh, the over 72.5
This is sneakily going to be one of the most entertaining games of the college football season.
Yes, I really believe that.
You've got two great quarterbacks helming up experienced offenses and both teams are firing on all cylinders right now.
Just kick up your feet tomorrow night and let the points rain down. And, boom, you'll have a gambling win to start the weekend before Friday even gets here.
Mississippi State at Auburn, the under 50.5
Two solid defenses are paired against two streaky quarterbacks.
What happens?
My bet is the defenses dominate and points are at a premium.
Take the under on the Plains.
Michigan at Penn State +1.5 and the under 48.5
Just about every year at Penn State James Franklin gets a big homefield victory over a Big Ten opponent.
This year that team is Michigan.
The Nittany Lions outlast Michigan in a defensive struggle 21-17.
When that happens you'll have a double win, the under and Penn State on the cover and with the outright win.
Georgia at Tennessee +20.5
I'll be in Neyland for this game with all three Travis boys, ages 13, 11 and 7. This will be the first time I've ever had all three boys at a Vol football game before.
So what happens?
Tennessee keeps it closer than most teams have with Georgia, coming out strong in the first half before fading late as the Georgia defensive superiority and depth weighs on the Vol offensive line.
But until then, here's the deal: the Georgia defense has only given up 59 points all season. You're not going to drive the length of the field on them consistently. But can Tennessee hit some big plays and score a couple of times from distance? I think so.
So buckle up for the last regular season challenge for the Bulldogs and take the Vols to cover at Neyland in front of what should be an electric crowd.
South Carolina at Mizzou, the over 54.5
We've got two teams passing in the football night right now -- South Carolina coming off their best performance of the season and Mizzou getting waxed yet again in SEC play.
So how does this game go? The Mizzou defense can't stop anyone and I think that sets a high scoring pace in this game that sees both teams rolling up and down the field. The final score? I have no idea. But I know it will add up to over 54.5.
Kentucky at Vanderbilt +21.5
After three straight losses I'm not favoring this Kentucky offense by over 21 points on anyone.
Yes, not even Vanderbilt.
The Dores keep it inside of three touchdowns against Kentucky, ultimately losing by 14, which means you cover by over a touchdown.
Texas A&M -2.5 at Ole Miss
When you watch teams play all season long, eventually you have to trust your own power rankings. I've got Texas A&M as the third best team in the SEC and the Aggies are surging as Ole Miss, due to injury issues, fades.
So how does that play out Saturday in Oxford?
The Aggies win by at least a field goal and you cash a winning ticket.
Gig'em.
Arkansas at LSU, the over 59
Betting on LSU has been a fool's errand all season long, but in this game I'm believe both offenses come to play and each team scores at least thirty.
If I'm right, the final outcome won't matter, because you'll have already won.
Boom, that's 9-0 in college football.
Get rich, kids. #respectthepicks #shootersshoot
Here's my Outkick NFL Six Pack (which is actually a baker's half dozen, with seven picks this week)
Jags +10.5 at Colts
Browns at Patriots -1
Atlanta +9.5 at Cowboys
Saints at Titans -2.5 and the under 44
Eagles at Broncos, the under 45
Chiefs -2.5 at Raiders
...
Hope to see you guys Saturday in Knoxville!