We witnessed one of the biggest upsets in recent memory on Saturday night, when Texas A&M defeated No. 1 Alabama in College Station. We also saw Georgia pass another test by beating up on Auburn, and Ole Miss pulled off the 52-51 win over Arkansas. Kentucky also dismantled LSU in Lexington, putting the Wildcats at 6-0 on the season and setting up a huge game against Georgia. So now, we look towards Week Seven, with several games that have already caught the betting eye.
Alabama (-20.5) at Mississippi State
Well, unfortunately for the Bulldogs, Alabama is coming off a loss, which won’t sit well in Tuscaloosa. I almost feel bad for Mississippi State, who are coming off an open date and have had time to prepare for the Tide. But, this will be a turnaround game for Nick Saban’s squad, which could lead to bad news for the Bulldogs. Look, as we saw on Saturday night, anything is possible, but I don’t see this game being close, and the spread feels about right. Look for the Bama bounce back.
Auburn (+3.5) at Arkansas
The Razorbacks are coming off a 52-51 loss at Ole Miss in which KJ Jefferson threw for 326 yards and 3 TDs. Arkansas also rushed for 350 yards, but the defense couldn’t hold up, giving up 324 yards on the ground to the Rebels. This game could come down to how Bo Nix plays outside the pocket, which we’ve seen glimpses of this season. A healthy Tank Bigsby would help the Tigers, who are coming off the loss to Georgia. I thought Auburn played well at times against the Dawgs and could see them carrying it over to Fayetteville. Arkansas has now lost two straight, and the defense has been exposed. This one will be close, in my opinion.
Florida (-9.5) at LSU
Well, the Tigers are currently on a two-game losing streak and were destroyed by Kentucky on Saturday night. I don’t like how LSU is playing right now, especially in the run game, and the defense isn’t helping their case either. Florida is coming off a 42-point win over Vanderbilt, and the only question I had was why Anthony Richardson didn’t play more. The UF/LSU game is always gritty, and the Tigers went into Gainesville last season and pulled the upset. But, I feel like the Gators have way too much offense for LSU this weekend. The game is also at 11 am local time, which won’t help a crowd that is already upset with their Tigers’ performance. This feels like the Gators, pretty big. But, maybe the LSU players step up for Coach Orgeron and play well. I wouldn’t count on it though, especially with that performance against Kentucky.
Texas A&M (-7.5) at Missouri
The Aggies are coming off the biggest upset in college football, taking down Alabama. This is the same team that lost to Mississippi State last week. I feel Aggies QB Zach Calzada, who threw for 285 yards and 3 TDs against the Tide, has taken the next step. The Missouri Tigers gave up 493 total yards in the 48-35 win over North Texas. I still don’t trust this Tigers defense and feel the Aggies can establish the run game, making it a long day in Columbia. We’ll see whether the Aggies can get back up emotionally for this noon kickoff, so make smart decisions when it comes to betting on this game. Let’s see if Jimbo Fisher can get his team up for this matchup. Keep an eye on this line as we get closer to kickoff.
Kentucky (+23.5) at Georgia
I would love to say Kentucky has a chance in this game, especially after rushing for 330 yards against LSU, but the Kentucky passing game worries me in this one, and Will Levis will actually have to sling the football. The Georgia defense held Auburn to 10 points and only 46 yards rushing in the 34-10 win. Not to mention, the Dawgs are winning these games with backup QB Stetson Bennett, who was 14-21 for 231 yards and 1 TD against Auburn. Kentucky has the tendency to force things in the pass game, especially if they are struggling to establish anything on the ground. Yes, Kentucky is 6-0 on the season and this game will be for first place in the SEC East, but it doesn’t feel like Georgia is losing anytime soon. The Dawgs’ front seven is the best in College Football, but this will be the toughest OL that Georgia has faced this season. We’ll see if starting QB JT Daniels can return, but right now I’d keep riding Stetson Bennett, as he’s gotten Georgia this far.
Vanderbilt (+19.5) at South Carolina
The Gamecocks are coming off a 45-20 loss at Tennessee, while Vanderbilt lost 42-0 in Gainesville. I feel that South Carolina has enough talent on this roster to take care of the Dores. The Vandy offense doesn’t scare folks, and the Gamecocks’ defense should have a better outing this Saturday than they did last Saturday. The one thing that would worry me is a letdown game from Shane Beamer’s squad now that they’ve lost 3 out of 4 conference games. I’d stay away from this one, but I don’t control your bank account. Good luck.
Ole Miss (-3.5) at Tennessee
One of the most intriguing matchups in the SEC this weekend will take place in Knoxville. Former Tennessee head coach Lane Kiffin returns to Tennessee as the head coach of Ole Miss, which should make for some interesting television. The Rebels are coming off a 52-51 win over Arkansas, in which they rushed for 324 yards and Matt Corral had 287 yards through the air. Tennessee is coming off another dominating win, taking care of South Carolina 45-20. The Vols rushed for 247 yards and Hendon Hooker passed for 225 yards and 3 TDs. This game will no doubt end up being a shootout, but pay attention to the Vols’ defense, who have been playing well this season. The Vols will host the Rebels at 7:30 pm, which should lead to a hostile crowd. Both the Rebels and Vols have a QB who can lead their team to a lot of points, so watch the line this week. I expect it to drop, especially with the way Tennessee has been playing. This will be a fun one.
Enjoy your betting!