Vegas Ranks the Bubble Teams

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Let’s face it, the NCAA Tournament bubble is endlessly fascinating.

How do you decide who the final teams are?

It’s incredibly entertaining.

And one of the reasons why it’s so fascinating is because there are so many different ways to make the case for which teams should be in and which should be out. Do you give the greatest weight to RPI, final ten games, top 50 wins, top 200 losses, strength of schedule, consistency of performance, hot streak, you name it and you can make a case for just about any team on the bubble.

That’s why they’re on the bubble.

But how would Las Vegas assess these teams if they were playing games against each other?

In other words, which would Vegas consider to be the best teams?

Well, I asked my good buddy Todd Fuhrman at Caesar’s Palace — you can follow him on Twitter here — to take the 12 most commonly discussed bubble teams and compare them head-to-head. The result is a graph below.


As you can see Vegas would rank the 12 bubble teams as follows:

1. Texas (11-0)

2. VCU (10-1)

3. Miami (9-2)

4. N.C. State (7-2-1)

5. Xavier (3-4-4)

5. Northwestern (3-4-4)

5. St. Joe’s (3-4-4)

8. Tennessee (2-4-5)

8. Oregon (2-4-5)

10. Dayton (1-9-1)

11. South Florida (0-8-3)

12. Colorado State (0-11)

Written by Clay Travis

Clay Travis is the founder of the fastest growing national multimedia platform, OutKick, that produces and distributes engaging content across sports and pop culture to millions of fans across the country. OutKick was created by Travis in 2011 and sold to the Fox Corporation in 2021.

One of the most electrifying and outspoken personalities in the industry, Travis hosts OutKick The Show where he provides his unfiltered opinion on the most compelling headlines throughout sports, culture, and politics. He also makes regular appearances on FOX News Media as a contributor providing analysis on a variety of subjects ranging from sports news to the cultural landscape. Throughout the college football season, Travis is on Big Noon Kickoff for Fox Sports breaking down the game and the latest storylines.

Additionally, Travis serves as a co-host of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show, a three-hour conservative radio talk program syndicated across Premiere Networks radio stations nationwide.

Previously, he launched OutKick The Coverage on Fox Sports Radio that included interviews and listener interactions and was on Fox Sports Bet for four years. Additionally, Travis started an iHeartRadio Original Podcast called Wins & Losses that featured in-depth conversations with the biggest names in sports.

Travis is a graduate of George Washington University as well as Vanderbilt Law School. Based in Nashville, he is the author of Dixieland Delight, On Rocky Top, and Republicans Buy Sneakers Too.