Pollwatch: Can President Trump Cut the Gap?

Each week, Outkick updates you on the latest polls for the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Here are the most recent numbers via Real Clear Politics:

President Donald Trump entered last week’s debate with ground to make up in the polls. A week later, most of them show Joe Biden’s lead growing.

Much has been made about Biden’s 10-point national poll lead in a Fox News survey. Though Trump doesn’t need to win the popular vote, he can’t lose by as much as the polls suggest. In 2016, he lost the category to Hillary Clinton 65,844,954 (48.2%) to 62,979,879 (46.1%).

On the map, NPR projects a 290-163 victory for Biden — with wins in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Despite the polls, I’d be surprised if Biden won all four. That said, an Arizona win — which is plausible — greatly complicates Trump’s re-election chances.

NPR has Florida marked as a toss-up. A recent ABC News/The Washington Post poll gave Trump a 51%-47% advantage in the state. Even if the debate didn’t help Trump, I’m not convinced it brought him down. With under a month to go, Trump should be favored in Florida.

With a deficit, Trump cannot afford to skip next week’s virtual debate, as he’s claiming he will. (And he’s right, a debate over Zoom or some other software is bogus.) Center stage is still Trump’s best route to convincing America that Biden is not fit for office. Of course, that’d require Trump not interrupting and letting Biden hurt himself.

25 days to go.

Follow Bobby Burack on Twitter @burackbobby_.


Written by Bobby Burack

Bobby Burack covers media, politics, and sports at OutKick.


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  1. LOL the only gap is between biden’ ears Trump in a landslide all those polls are fake news just like they had clinton ahead by double digits couple weeks out. If clinton couldn’t beat Trump this far left socialist duo has no chance i mean no chance. That vp broad is about as likeable as a canker sore and she comes across dumb as a rock i mean come on man

  2. I have the same thoughts, Bobby. President Trump needs to let Biden stumble all over himself in the next debate. It’s clear he doesn’t have the stamina to hack it, so what better way to expose it than with a national audience on the debate stage?

  3. Hillary back in 2016:
    After running through some of the core tenets of her campaign in a video conference call with supporters in Las Vegas, the former secretary of state said: “Having said all this, ‘Why aren’t I 50 points ahead?’ you might ask?”

    Anybody got a mirror? A mirror for Mrs. Clinton, anybody?
    For sure, Bobby…let China Joe tell us ALL he wants…even give him some of YOUR time, Mr. President.

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