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We once again went 2-1 last night on our Triple Play MLB Best Bets. I’ll take a winning day any day, but let’s try and knock today out of the park and get a full sweep.
Padres vs. Rockies
Three years ago, betting the under with Kyle Freeland at home was an auto, blind bet. Not so much anymore. Blake Snell has shown flashes of brilliance, but hasn’t been the same pitcher the Padres imagined when they traded for him in the offseason. However, in two games against the Rockies, the totals were three and five runs (one game was a double header seven-inning game). I’m seeing money split about 50/50 on both sides of the total. I also see the wind blowing in and the Padres in a bit of a slump right now. I’m going to play this game as an under 12 runs.
Red Sox vs. Braves
Another game that I see some value in and a 50/50 split in terms of money and picks is the Boston vs. Atlanta game. The Red Sox have Garrett Richards, who brings in a 2.89 ERA on the road, on the mound. Braves hitters have also hit just .187 against him. For the Braves, Ian Anderson has a 3.74 ERA at home, and in a very limited sample size, the Red Sox are hitting .300 against him. The crazy game log for Anderson is basically either zero, three, or four runs allowed. I’m expecting him to give up runs in this one and the Red Sox take it. I’ll play them on the moneyline at +130.
Rangers vs. Astros
Grienke is on the hill for the Astros, and while that used to be a more significant statement, he still shows flashes of dominance. Against the Rangers, I think the dominant Grienke should emerge. He has held the Rangers to just a .192 average against him in 50+ at-bats. Meanwhile, Rangers starter, Jordan Lyles, has a .283 average against him in over 80 Astro at-bats. Both starters won their only matchup against the opposing team this season. I’m going to take the Astros to win this game by more than just one run. Play the Astros run line of -1.5 at -120.