TNF Best Bets: Jets vs. Colts

We need to stop these NFL Thursday Games. I get that every team needs to have some sort of primetime game and you never know which teams will be good and which will be bad. The Jets are a big market team, but even the NFL brass should’ve known they would be trash. Nonetheless, even bad games have an opportunity to make money, and that is precisely what we plan to do.

The Jets travel to Indianapolis to take on the Colts on Thursday night. The Jets are fresh off an upset win over the Bengals. Zach Wilson, the second overall drafted quarterback from this past draft is still injured and the Week 8 passing leader Mike White will once again take the reigns of the offense. The Jets are averaging just 16.3 points per game but were able to put up 34 against a good Bengals defense.

Coincidentally enough, the Colts ended their game with the exact same score as the Jets did in Week 8. Carson Wentz is still hot garbage, even with a decent performance the other day. The Colts have been decent over the last four weeks. They competed against a tough divisional opponent, they beat a bad Texans team, a confusing 49ers team, and hung tough with a good Ravens team. Ultimately, they only went 2-2 though.

The Colts are giving up 10.5 points in this game. I want no part of them being responsible for covering it even with the Colts at home. I’m playing the Jets +10.5 at -112. While both teams have been competitive, neither ever really break away from their opponent. The Jets did get absolutely destroyed against the Patriots, but Frank Reich is not Bill Belichick. The Jets also lost 26-0 on the road against the Broncos. So, the question really becomes, are they awful on the road? Aside from the Texans the Colts have been in three-point games at home.

I also like the over in this game. Maybe I’m buying too much into the Mike White hype, but he looked great against the Bengals. If he can replicate even half of that and get to around 21 points, the over should hit. The Colts are averaging 25 points per game which puts this one right about at the total. When it is this close, and these two teams have bad defenses, I like to play the over. I see this one being closer to 51 total points. I’m playing over 46.5 at -110.

Written by David Troy

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