The Atlanta Braves (79-48) are dominating the St. Louis Cardinals (72-54) this year. Atlanta took a 4-1 season series lead after blasting St. Louis 11-4 Friday in the series opener.
Atlanta is 7-1 in the last eight games and has won four straight while the Cardinals have alternated between winning and losing over the last six games.
St. Louis is out a six-game lead in the NL Central. The Braves have a 10-game lead in the NL Wild Card race and trail the New York Mets by 2 games in the NL East.
Betting Deets (DraftKings)
Moneyline: Braves (-120), Cardinals (-190)
Atlanta: RHP Charlie Morton is 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 135 1/3 innings pitched (IP) over 24 starts.
St. Louis: LHP Jordan Montgomery is 7-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 140 1/3 IP across 25 starts while pitching for the Cardinals and New York Yankees.
The Yankees recklessly sent Montgomery to St. Louis at the trade deadline and Montgomery has been locked in since joining the Cardinals.
Montgomery’s 92-game score in a 1-0 victory Monday vs. the Chicago Cubs was a career-best. He pitched a complete-game shutout, getting all 27 outs in just 28 batters faced.
Also, Montgomery has won all 4 starts as a Cardinal and has allowed only 1 earned run in 25 2/3 IP. However, it’s time to fade Montgomery against the reigning Super Bowl champs.
Atlanta’s lineup has roughed up Montgomery in prior meetings. Montgomery has a 9.8% K-rate with a .322/.433/.645 expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line in 41 plate appearances vs. current Braves batters, per Statcast.
There is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” situation in the betting market. Three-fourths of the money is on the Braves whereas a slight majority of the bets are on the Cardinals at DraftKings per VSIN.com. Pro bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe so you typically want to follow the cash column.
Let’s follow the sharp money and BET the ATLANTA BRAVES (-120) at DraftKings Sportsbook.
- A $120 bet on the Braves (-120) ML returns a $100 profit if Atlanta wins.
FOLLOW GEOFF ON TWITTER: @Geoffery_Clark
Listen to the ‘OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark’ podcast HERE.
PointsBet Sportsbook users can make their first bets risk-free up to $2,000. If the bet loses, PointsBet will refund you in site credit. New users can lock in this offer NOW by clicking this link.
New DraftKings users can get up to a $1,000 deposit bonus and receive a 20% first deposit match up to $1,000 when they sign up. New users can lock in this offer NOW by clicking this link.