Same Game Parlay: Bucks-Nets Game 6
Two nights ago, we hit the Same Game Parlay at over a 60-1 return. Last night, the odds were lower, but we still came close to hitting it, missing by just the hook on the game total and one Mitchell three. Let’s try and do better today in the Nets vs. Bucks matchup.
Durant was historically good in Game 5. He showed the world that he is probably the best player in the world when he is fully healthy. Some people have suggested that Durant and Harden are likely to play few minutes this game so that they can cash it all in during Game 7 at home. I’m not one of those people, but I don’t think that Durant goes balls-to-the-wall like he did last game either. I’m going to start this game by saying he gets fewer than 30 points. For my parlay, I’m taking Durant at under 29.5.
Harden is where I think the points will come from. He played 46 minutes in Game 5. His hammy is fine. What he did poorly though, is shoot. He missed all eight three-point attempts he took. I’ll take amazing odds that it doesn’t happen again. I’ve explained this before, but let me put it here again for the new kids… FanDuel is offering a $10 free play on a Same Game Parlay. Basically, if we lose, we get our money back. So, the best thing to do is to stack bets that, when combined, give us a big payout. Now, we want to be a bit logical about this – saying Durant will score under 10 points is so unlikely that even at +10000 it isn’t worth the attempt. Harden should score in the 20s, in my estimation. Him to get to 20+ points is +192 currently. I’m going to take him to score 25+ because the odds are at +610. That’s unreal to me. He is more than capable of getting to the line 10 times, if he is aggressive, and of hitting five threes in a game.
If you’ve read these before, you know why I like taking Brook Lopez to make 2+ threes. I’m taking it again at +122. Is it likely to keep happening? Not necessarily, but read my justification in the previous paragraph. We do this to try and increase our payout and have a reasonable expectation that it will happen.
My last play is really just to add a bit extra to this play. Giannis should get 10 rebounds with ease. He is -700 on the line to get there, and I’m going to play that. Mostly because it takes our parlay from +6481 to +7232. If you start with the first two plays, add in the some higher juiced items like this and see what you’re comfortable with. The first two plus-money plays are a great foundation for a good payout.
Same Game Parlay:
Total odds are +7232, a $10 bet pays out $723.17.
Add in Giannis to score the first basket and odds increase to +37332, a $10 winning bet pays $3,733.16 and returns $10 if we lose.