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Predicting the 2013 SEC East

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Yesterday I laid out my predictions for the 2013 SEC West, now I’m giving y’all my predictions for the SEC East. 

I’ve broken down each team’s schedule using five different categories: definite wins, likely wins, definite losses, likely losses, and toss-ups.

So how do I define those games. 

Definite wins are games that should have spreads of 17+. It’s possible that a team could lose these games, but it’s incredibly unlikely. If teams lose these games you’re probably heading for a Gene Chizik like implosion.

Likely wins are those games that a team should win, but it’s not a slam dunk. You’re somewhere around a 8-14 point favorite in the game.

Toss ups are games I’m forecasting to have a spread of a touchdown or less. These are basically games where a play or two here or there has a decent chance of determining the outcome. I’ve also put a few games that will likely have a margin of more than seven points in the toss-up category. For instance, LSU at Alabama will probably see Bama as a touchdown or more favorite, but given LSU and Alabama’s history of late, would it really shock anyone if LSU went into Tuscaloosa and found a way to win? I don’t think so, hence some of my toss-ups are a function of history, coaching, and my own feelings about the match-ups.

Figure that a toss-up is close to a 65-35 outcome at worst. That is, if the game was played 100 times the underdog would win around 35 of the games. Many of these toss-ups are much closer to 50-50 splits, where one team or the other will be a field goal or less of a favorite.   

Likely losses are the reverse of the likely wins, the team that is likely to lose will be 8-14 point underdog.

Definite losses are games where a team will be a three score or more underdog.  

In related news, go ahead and run for the hills Georgia Bulldog fans, you’re my pick to win the 2013 BCS title. 

Georgia: 11-1

 

Definite Wins (5):

North Texas, Appalachian State, Missouri, at Auburn, Kentucky

Likely wins (3):

at Tennessee, Vanderbilt, at Georgia Tech

Definite losses (0):

none

Toss-ups (4):

at Clemson, South Carolina, LSU, Florida 

 

South Carolina: 10-2

 

Definite wins (5):

at UCF, Kentucky, at Arkansas, Mississippi State, Coastal Carolina

Likely wins (3):

North Carolina, Vanderbilt, at Missouri, at Tennessee

Definite losses (0):

none

Likely losses (0):

none

Toss-ups (3):

at Georgia, Florida, Clemson

 

Florida: 9-3

 

Definite wins (5):

Toledo, Tennessee, at Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia Southern

Likely wins (3):

 at Miami, at Missouri, Vandy, 

Definite losses (0):

none

Likely losses (0):

none

Toss-ups (4):

at LSU, Georgia, at South Carolina, Florida State

 

Vanderbilt: 7-5

 

Definite wins (5): 

Austin Peay, at UMASS, UAB, Kentucky, Wake Forest

Likely wins (0):

none

Definite losses (1):

at Texas A&M

Likely losses (3):

Georgia, at South Carolina, at Florida

Toss-ups (3):

Ole Miss, Missouri, at Tennessee 

 

Missouri 6-6

 

Definite wins (2):

Murray State, Toledo

Likely wins (2):

at Indiana, Arkansas State

Definite losses (1):

at Georgia

Likely losses (4):

Florida, South Carolina, at Ole Miss, Texas A&M

Toss-ups (3):

at Vanderbilt, at Kentucky, Tennessee 

 

Tennessee: 6-6

 

Definite wins (2):

Austin Peay, South Alabama

Likely wins (1):

Western Kentucky

Definite losses (3):

at Oregon, at Florida, at Alabama

Likely losses (2):

Georgia, South Carolina

Toss-ups (4):

at Missouri, Auburn, Vandy, at Kentucky

 

Kentucky: 3-9

 

Definite wins (2):

Miami (Ohio), Alabama State

Likely wins (0):

none

Definite losses (7):

Louisville, Florida, at South Carolina, Alabama, at Mississippi State, at Vandy, at Georgia

Likely losses (0):

none

Toss-ups (3):

Western Kentucky, Missouri, Tennessee

Total and complete agreement again, right?

Here are my predictions on the SEC West from yesterday. 

Written by Clay Travis

OutKick founder, host and author. He's presently banned from appearing on both CNN and ESPN because he’s too honest for both.

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