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It seems like it happens every year. As we get closer to the NFL draft, reports start surfacing of a random quarterback being a potential first-round pick. If you don’t believe me, let’s take a look back at history.
Just last year, there were late rumblings of Jacob Eason going on Day 1 due to his size and arm ability. He didn’t go until the middle of the fourth round. The year prior, there was some late buzz surrounding Jarrett Stidham. He was one of the last picks in the fourth round.
Let’s keep going though. Do any of these names sound familiar?
- Mason Rudolph – Round 3 (No. 76 overall)
- Davis Webb – Round 3 (No. 87)
- Bryce Petty – Round 4 (No. 103)
- Tom Savage – Round 4 (No. 135)
- Ryan Nassib – Round 4 (No. 110)
So what do they have in common? They all got first-round type, mostly down the stretch, but none of them came close to going in the first round. There are more names that we could add to this list, but you get the point.
Now there’s talk of Kyle Trask out of the University of Florida.
Trask’s final season in Gainesville was fantastic. He led the SEC in passing touchdowns (43) and yards per game (356.9), but Oklahoma exposed some serious flaws in the Sugar Bowl. Draft analysts likely saw the flaws long before that, but the masses saw him struggle considerably against a tough opponent on New Year’s Day.
Since then, some have questioned whether Trask would even be a Day 2 pick, much less go on Day 1. But like always, there have been some rumblings that he’ll be picked early. One such rumble comes from Peter King, who I’m sure everyone here is familiar with.
“I think I’m starting to think Kyle Trask, the Florida quarterback, has a good chance to be the sixth first-round quarterback. Starting to think,” King said in his Football Morning in America column on Pro Football Talk.
Let’s be fair here. Others are beginning to consider Trask as a first-round option as well. Some of that comes down to the hype surrounding Mac Jones. Some think that Jones and Trask have similar limitations: lack of mobility, lack of true arm strength.
So if Jones can be a potential No. 3 pick, then why can’t Trask go in the first round?
It is a fair question, but I’m still not buying it. I’m here to tell you that Jones shouldn’t go No. 3 overall either. I think he’s a first-round pick, but he currently ranks as the No. 5 quarterback on my board. Based on that, he should be the late first-round guy, not Trask.
But even still, there are a lot more things to like about Jones than Trask. I feel like he’s more accurate, his processing is better, and he seems like a better leader. All of his Alabama teammates absolutely love him, and not just because of how well he throws a football.
I also don’t think Jones has the same limitations with his arm. It’s not great, but it’s better than what Trask brings to the table. Trask’s mechanics are a major hinderance, and I just don’t see an NFL team willing to take him on the first day.
In fact, I believe that Trask will go in Round 3 or Round 4, just like those guys above did.
Let’s also go ahead and get this out of the way too: I don’t think Kellen Mond (Texas A&M) or Davis Mills (Stanford) are first-round picks either. But I do believe they’ll both be taken well before Trask — sometime in the late second, early third round, if I had to guess.
Follow Clint Lamb on Twitter @ClintRLamb.