Videos by OutKick
The gambling picks went 8-10 last week, running our season record to 43-45. That’s a 49% winning percentage and it has the wolves out circling on these social media streets, showing a tremendous lack of respect for the picks.
That’s why I, like another fearless man with spectacular hair, now am unsheathing my sword and standing awaiting the hater hordes coming for me.
— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) October 18, 2017
While the performance thus far has been subpar the truth of the matter is this, everything changed for us on Monday night when I told you to buy the Titans down to -6.5 favorites and simultaneously gave you a blood bank guarantee on a double digit win against the Colts. And what happened? The blood bank cashed on the broad shoulders and galloping stride of Derrick Henry.
That’s why I’m so confident this week that we’re going 11-0, old mo is back on our side and she’s carrying us straight to dominance.
So climb aboard the undefeated train, boys and girls, we’re getting rich and going 11-0!
Kansas at TCU -37.5 (Now TCU -39)
Kansas is one of the worst teams in the history of major conference college football. And the Jayhawks are getting worse every single week.
In fact, in the past two weeks they have been outscored 110-19.
That’s not going to get better at TCU.
I don’t think the Jayhawks will score in this one and I think TCU will score 50.
That’s a cover!
Syracuse +14.5 at Miami (Now Syracuse +16.5)
All Dino Babers does is cover.
In its last four games Syracuse has lost by 9 at LSU, lost by 8 at N.C. State and beaten Pitt and Clemson outright, the later as over a three touchdown underdog. Now Syracuse goes on the road at Miami and the Hurricanes, who have won two straight games on the final play of the game, are now up to nearly 17 point favorites?
I think that’s pure insanity.
I love Syracuse to cover here and keep it close into the fourth quarter.
Tennessee at Alabama -34 (Now Alabama -36)
Tennessee has scored one touchdown since playing Florida on September 16th. And that was against UMASS. Put simply, Tennessee is not going to score an offensive touchdown against Alabama in this game. Just like the Vols didn’t score touchdowns against Georgia and South Carolina either.
The only way Tennessee scores in this game is off a turnover or on special teams.
Since Alabama doesn’t turn the ball over very often that means Tennessee has to score a touchdown on special teams. And that ain’t happening because Tennessee isn’t going to make Alabama punt and they aren’t returning a kick for a touchdown. So I think Bama wins 45-3 and there are no points scored in the entire 4th quarter of this game.
This is my locked and loaded 100% blood bank guarantee, boys and girls.
(Note: the only thing that scares me a bit about this game is Nick Saban not pouring it on because he wants to keep Butch Jones in Knoxville. That’s why the biggest risk here is that Saban wins something like 35-9. But I don’t think he’ll want to call off the dogs that early.)
Kentucky +10 at Mississippi State and the over 54.5 (Now Kentucky +11 and 54.5)
How bad has Kentucky football been? They had a seven game losing streak to Mississippi State until last year.
Putting that into context, the only other time Mississippi State has had a seven game SEC winning streak was…never! (They have, however, had lots of seven game losing streaks).
Mississippi State has scored 35 or more in every game they’ve won and Kentucky is coming off a bye week so I absolutely love the over here. And if Kentucky had remembered to cover wide receivers in the Florida game the Wildcats would actually be 6-0.
So while I think Mississippi State wins, I love getting the Cats by double digits.
Kentucky covers, but both teams score 24 or more. (And Mississippi State might well post 40 or more by itself).
LSU at Ole Miss +7.5 (Now Ole Miss +6.5)
Here’s an easy question for you — do you think an LSU team coached by Ed Orgeron should be more than a touchdown favorite over anyone on the road in the SEC?
My answer is no.
I know, I know, LSU is coming off back-to-back wins over Florida and Auburn, but that, to me, means the Tigers are going to roll into Oxford without caring much about this game. I mean, sure, Coach O. cares, but do you think the average LSU player cares about Ole Miss?
It wouldn’t shock me at all if Ole Miss wins this game outright as over a touchdown underdog and I love the Rebels as an over touchdown underdog because Shea Patterson has the receiving talent to post some points and I think LSU sleepwalks a bit on the road.
Michigan at Penn State -10.5 and the over 42.5 (Now Penn State -9.5 and 45)
Penn State is going to win this game by three touchdowns and it is never going to be close.
Just trust me on this one.
The final score will be 38-17 and that means you’ll hit the cover with ease and the over with ease.
Nostraclaydamus has spoken, the greatest coach in college football history, Jim Harbaugh, is about to get seriously humbled. (After which time Michigan will increase his pay to $10 million a year).
USC at Notre Dame -4 (Now Notre Dame -3.5)
I can’t believe I’m writing this, but Notre Dame is presently the most underrated team in college football. It’s college football’s own version of the upside down — the Fighting Irish, usually the most overrated team in college football, have won every game by 20 or more except for a one point loss to Georgia.
And yet the media and fans haven’t noticed at all.
With Notre Dame having two weeks to prepare for an inconsistent USC team, I believe the Trojans are walking into a double digit loss here. So far USC has narrowly avoided disaster all season long and that finally catches up with them in South Bend.
Notre Dame by ten.
West Virginia -9 at Baylor (Now West Virginia -9.5)
With nine minutes left in the third quarter Texas Tech went up 35-17 on West Virginia. VIP members had Tech +7, which means I was already counting this as a gambling win. That’s a 25 point advantage with 24 minutes left in the game.
Surely, we were great, right?
Then West Virginia scored 29 straight points to finish off that game and cover.
Now the Mountaineers are going on the road at Baylor, and the Bears are 0-6 and coming off their worst loss of the season.
I think things go poorly at home as well and West Virginia wins by double digits.
Go Fighting Holgorsen’s.
Auburn at Arkansas over 53.5 (Now 53.5)
This is just the kind of game that Bret Bielema wins and Gus Malzahn loses.
Both Arkansas and Auburn fans know exactly what I’m talking about. Just when you think Arkansas has given up on the season they pull off a win like this to give you a faint hope all is not lost and just when you think Auburn has some good momentum they go to shit.
So this is tempting to play on the money line as a straight up Razorback win. In fact, I’m sprinkling a bit of money on that too. (Arkansas is +475 to win)
But what I really feel comfortable about here is both teams scoring some points and rolling through this number.
So the over is the safer bet.
There you have it, kids, get rich!
We’re going 11-0!