Outkick's College Gambling Picks For Week 7 2020

Good news right off the top -- sports gambling is now legal in Tennessee, and this weekend will be the first time you have ever been able to legally bet on college sports in Tennessee. To celebrate that occasion, we've got an incredible offer for new users -- Tennessee to beat Arkansas is paying out on the money line at 25-1. That means if you bet $5, you get back $125. How can you say no to this offer? Go sign up today. (And, by the way, if you live in Kentucky, Georgia, Alabama, North Carolina, Mississippi, Arkansas, Virginia or Missouri and you are ever in Tennessee, you can sign up and make your bets too. For that matter, if you'll be traveling to Tennessee for the holiday, you should go ahead and sign up too. All you need to do is be in the state of Tennessee when you make your bets, and you can get paid out anywhere. So you could, for instance, go fill up with gas across the state line in the morning, make your bets, and then, boom, you get paid back at home if you win.) So go sign up today.

On the picks front, we continue to struggle, going 4-5 last week with a push on Penn State +13 as well. That runs our season record to 25-35.

Like many teams out there struggling, we need to string some good plays together and get back to playing solid.

And that starts this week, with a 12-0 weekend.

Here we go:

Nebraska +3.5 at Northwestern

Nebraska's game against Wisconsin was canceled last week, meaning the Cornhuskers have had two weeks to get ready for Northwestern. It also means we're into November now, and the Cornhuskers have only played one game so far this season.

Northwestern, on the other hand, is 2-0 and is favored to move to 3-0 this week against Nebraska. What's more, given the struggles that Wisconsin is facing to even play this season, Northwestern could even hold out hope of winning the Big Ten West this season, especially if they win this game. (Winnable games against Purdue, Michigan State, Minnesota and Illinois remain as well. Wisconsin is also on the schedule, in the event the Badgers are able to play.)

So this feels like the perfect time for Scott Frost to come to town and ruin the victory parade, just when Northwestern is starting to roll. That's especially the case when you consider that three of the past five games in this series have been decided by three points or fewer.

Give me the Cornhuskers +3.5.

Liberty +14.5 at Virginia Tech and the over 67.5

Hugh Freeze's team is 6-0 on the season and had two weeks to prepare for Virginia Tech. Freeze has worked miracles with Liberty so far, and I expect him to have his team ready to roll, especially since they've already beaten one ACC team, Syracuse, on the road this season.

The Hokies, on the other hand, have been a mystery this season, at times very impressive, at other times difficult to predict.

But what both teams have consistently done, especially of late, is score points.

I love Freeze's team here to keep it within ten or less and to keep the pace rolling, leading to lots of points on both sides.

The result? Hop on board the Flames express, the over and the cover, both with ease.

Michigan -3 at Indiana

The Wolverines are coming off their worst loss of the Harbaugh era, and Indiana has won two games in a row. They now believe they can run with the big boys, thanks to their season opening win over Penn State.

Now Michigan comes to town, and Indiana seeks to end their 24-game losing streak against the Wolverines.

24 games! What's more, the past eight games have featured margins of seven or more.

This feels like the perfect time to clamber aboard the Indiana bandwagon.

But here's the deal, do we really think Michigan is going to completely collapse this year?

If you do, bet Indiana, but I don't believe that. I think Michigan is too talented and has too much pride to quit this early in the season.

Which means the Wolverines will bounce back from a bad loss to Michigan State and play well against the Hoosiers come Saturday.

Michigan wins and covers.

Florida +3.5 at Georgia

Tap the veins boys and girls, this is my blood bank guarantee of the week. I love Florida to cover and win outright here.

Why?

Quarterback play, put simply.

Florida has Kyle Trask, and Georgia has Stetson Bennett. One guy might win the Heisman, the other guy through no fault of his own, is in over his head.

In the past six quarters, the Georgia offense has scored 14 points, and their offenses has regressed to antediluvian levels of play calling. The Gators, meanwhile, are averaging 42 points a game and firing on all offensive cylinders.

Georgia has won three in a row in this series -- two in a row over Dan Mullen -- which has to be driving Mullen insane. (Well, even more insane than he already has been of late.)

The Gators bite back big this weekend and take command of the SEC East.

Tap the vein, boys and girls. It's time to get rich, kids, and lock in the blood bank guarantee win.

Maryland at Penn State -25 and the over 62.5

I predict massive amounts of pain for Maryland this weekend against Penn State.

In the past three years, Penn State has won by 59, 35, and 63 in this series.

Partly I think that's because James Franklin enjoys running it up on the team he was scheduled to be the coach-in-waiting for, but also there is just a tremendous talent gap.

This year, Penn State is coming off back-to-back losses and eager to get on the winning track. I think they score a ton of points in this one and set a torrid offensive pace.

The result?

An easy cover and and easy over.

Texas A&M at South Carolina +10.5

The Aggies are rolling towards a potential 9-1 finish.

If that happens, A&M would be positioned to make the College Football Playoff.

But there are some speedbumps along the way, and the first of those comes in Columbia, South Carolina.

Two weeks ago, Will Muschamp's team was embarrassed down in Baton Rouge. Now they're coming off a bye week with a double-digit favorite swashbuckling into town.

Given that five of the past six in this series have been decided by 11 or fewer-- all Aggie wins -- this feels like a tight game late that the Aggies find a way to win.

But over ten points seems way too pricy here.

Give me the Gamecocks.

Clemson at Notre Dame +5.5

Every time I bet on Notre Dame in a big game, I end up regretting it.

But here I am again, doing the same thing all over again.

If the Fighting Irish are ever going to beat a top opponent in a massive regular season game under Brian Kelly, this is their chance.

Without Trevor Lawrence, this Clemson team is still incredibly talented, but they're mortal.

Win and Notre Dame can make the case, even with a loss in the ACC title game, that they deserve a spot in the playoff. If that happens, rest assured, I will take Alabama to bludgeon the Irish into oblivion.

But, for now, here's a vote for the Irish to cover the number at home.

Rutgers at Ohio State -37.5

Every week Ohio State gets to play a game is an opportunity to send a message about how good they are to the playoff committee. Given that the number of games they play may be impacted by either their own COVID outbreak or someone else's, you can't risk wasting time, even when your former defensive coordinator is involved in the game.

Rutgers already has one win on the season. This week, they experience a true beat down.

Ohio State, big.

Vols -1.5 at Arkansas and the over 52.5

Did I mention that you can get Tennessee at 25-1 to win this game on the money line right now if you're a new gambler? And that you absolutely, positively have to take this bet right now because $5 nets you $125 if the Vols actually win? Of course, I did. So don't make me do it again. Go sign up right now.

Arkansas has been the best surprise in the SEC so far this season, but Tennessee has had two weeks to stew over losses to Georgia, Alabama and Kentucky, all in a row. This game feels a bit like the Mississippi State game last year for Tennessee.

If the Vol season is going to avoid disaster, they have to beat Arkansas in this game.

And I think they will.

Jarrett Guarantano is a total mess, but if he can just avoid throwing pick sixes, then Tennessee should match up well with Arkansas. Plus, Feleipe Franks is essentially Guarantano on the other side of the line of scrimmage, just more mobile. Franks has a big arm, so Tennessee will have to maintain their depth and spacing on defense -- and actually cover the slant for a change -- but he's also turnover suspect.

Ultimately, I like the Vols to gut one out on the road in Fayetteville in a relatively high scoring contest.

Call it 31-27 Vols.

...

Okay, there you have it, kids. We're going 12-0!