Outkick’s Gambling Picks For Conference Title Week

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Oct 4, 2014; Oxford, MS, USA; Alabama Crimson head coach Nick Saban prior to the game against Mississippi Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports Christopher Hanewinckel

Last week’s gambling picks went 6-4, but I also added two picks on Twitter, which split, 1-1. So we finished the week 7-5. The toughest part of last week’s gambling picks were we were literally one play away from 9-3. 

If Michigan doesn’t convert their 4th and 5 in the first overtime then we go 9-3 for the week. Instead we lost the under — which was criminal since it took double overtime to happen and was clearly the right side of the bet — and Ohio State -6.5. 

But the positive to take away is that Outkick’s picks are now 85-67 on the year, for a winning percentage of 56%. 

Since we won at a 60% rate last year, that’s a pretty solid two year run on free picks. Pay me back by going to outkickgear.com and buying Outkick shirts, pants and hats. Everything is 20% off if you use the code “dbap” and spend more than $60.

Can we get back to 60% again this year? We can certainly try. The best way to do that? By going 8-0 this weekend. 

So here we go. 

Washington -7.5 vs. Colorado

The play here is simple, Washington is peaking at the right time and despite an incredible season Colorado is overmatched with talent. The Huskies put the Buffaloes away early and you’ve locked up a nice 1-0 start to the weekend before Friday night drinking even gets started. 

Baylor at West Virginia -17.5

Baylor has lost five games in a row and has quit on the season. You know where a bad place to go is when you’ve quit on the season? Morgantown, West Virginia. Baylor has lost their last four games by 18 or more. 

You know what I call that?

A trend. 

Mountaineers by a billion. (Or at least 18)

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, the under 77.5

I will never bet an over on a conference title game that can end with a score of 42-35 and I still lose. 

Here’s the deal, both teams are trying to win the Big 12 title. And it’s a rivalry game. That means nerves are in play early and neither team comes out of the gate firing on all cylinders.

I know when neither team has a defense it’s always scary to bet unders, but trust me on this one, 77.5 is too high.  

Florida at Bama -24 and the over 41

I told you guys to bet this game at Bama -20.5 last week when it first came out. Full disclosure: I put lots of money on Bama -20.5 and I’ve never been more confident in a bet. I’m not sure the Gators cross midfield in this game. In fact, the only way Florida scores is via punt return or on defense. Alabama has not allowed a touchdown since October and the Gator offense is pure trash.   

The line is now up to 24 and I’m still betting it. 

I also love the over here because I’m confident the Tide hangs 40 on Florida by itself. 

Basically, this is going to be pure destruction. I see Bama winning 42-6. 

The double blood bank guarantee is at play here, Bama and the over.


And for those of you, Bama, Florida or sad Tennessee fans who bought tickets and now are using them to watch the two teams you hate the most play, I’ll be in Atlanta for the SEC title game. I may even Tweet out a bar for an Outkick meet up so make sure you’re following me on Twitter

Virginia Tech vs. Clemson, the over 58

Clemson is averaging 45 points a game over the past five games and Virginia Tech doesn’t have the defense to shut down this Clemson offense, which means the Hokies have to try and score with them.

The result?

The over cashes by the end of the third quarter, baby! 

Penn State +2.5 vs. Wisconsin, and the over 47.5

You know how I said to always take Wisconsin and the under? Welp, I’m flipping scripts for the title game. Penn State has scored 39 or more points in every game since they beat Ohio State and Wisconsin has scored 31 or more in each of the last three weeks. 

The result?

Points are coming to Indianapolis. 

This will make it five of the six Big Ten title games that have gone over 48 points. (The only one that didn’t was last year.)

I also love Penn State to win this game outright. 

So go 2-0 on the Big Ten title game by taking Penn State and the over.

Bang, that’s how you go 8-0 kids. 

Written by Clay Travis

Clay Travis is the founder of the fastest growing national multimedia platform, OutKick, that produces and distributes engaging content across sports and pop culture to millions of fans across the country. OutKick was created by Travis in 2011 and sold to the Fox Corporation in 2021.

One of the most electrifying and outspoken personalities in the industry, Travis hosts OutKick The Show where he provides his unfiltered opinion on the most compelling headlines throughout sports, culture, and politics. He also makes regular appearances on FOX News Media as a contributor providing analysis on a variety of subjects ranging from sports news to the cultural landscape. Throughout the college football season, Travis is on Big Noon Kickoff for Fox Sports breaking down the game and the latest storylines.

Additionally, Travis serves as a co-host of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show, a three-hour conservative radio talk program syndicated across Premiere Networks radio stations nationwide.

Previously, he launched OutKick The Coverage on Fox Sports Radio that included interviews and listener interactions and was on Fox Sports Bet for four years. Additionally, Travis started an iHeartRadio Original Podcast called Wins & Losses that featured in-depth conversations with the biggest names in sports.

Travis is a graduate of George Washington University as well as Vanderbilt Law School. Based in Nashville, he is the author of Dixieland Delight, On Rocky Top, and Republicans Buy Sneakers Too.