Outkick Gambling Picks For Week 5 2018
You guys know I hate to brag or draw attention to myself, but the Outkick picks have been on fire a third of the way through the college football season. We went 8-4 last week, even with the brutal beats in Penn State-Illinois and a tough late score from Texas A&M in the Bama game. That ran our record to 30-20 on the season and that's without even counting the Washington State at USC game, which we also won on Friday night, but I didn't give out on the picks page here.
That's a 60% win percentage so far on the year, which has sent fade the picks guy into a near catatonic stupor. That's what happens when you don't #respectthepicks
I’ve got 13 more picks coming for you this weekend, which are, of course, going to go 13-0, but I also want to ask you to spend a small bit of the money you've won and please buy my new book which is out in stores now, Republicans Buy Sneakers Too. It’s $17 right now on Amazon and if you don’t want the hard back book, you can buy the nine hour unabridged audio version I recorded myself.
If you want an autographed copy -- as many of you do -- this is the second year we’ve had the picks up early on the Outkick VIP message board. If you love to ride with the Outkick picks I will be posting my picks on Monday on the VIP message board so you can get the earliest numbers possible. Then I’ll post the picks for free here on Wednesday afternoon. Several thousand of you signed up for the Outkick VIP last year and this year’s VIP’s will receive an autographed copy of my new book, Republicans Buy Sneakers Too, access to our VIP events across the nation, a VIP message board, a VIP phone line for my radio show, and other cool experiences, potentially involving the new TV show, which will be announced on the VIP message board. So make sure you sign up for Outkick VIP today.
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The weekly Outkick picks are presented by SportsBookReview.com, which features the best one stop shop to compare prices on games anywhere on the Internet. The site will also let you know which side all the betting action is on, which is a pretty phenomenal resource as well.
So here we go with the Outkick picks presented by SportsBookReview.
We're going 13-0!
Memphis -13.5 at Tulane
Tulane had to go on the road against Ohio State and the Buckeyes put up 419 yards passing. In addition to having to play on a short week, Tulane has a poor pass defense which Memphis will exploit on Friday night.
I don't see this game as being very close at all, but I wanted to wait until the line dropped beneath two touchdowns to hop on board the Mike Norvell express.
That just happened today, which is why I'm hopping on board.
Pitt at Central Florida -13.5 and the over 65
Central Florida's point totals so far this season: 56, 38, 56
Pitt's defensive point totals against FBS teams other than Georgia Tech's moribund offensive attack: 38 against UNC and 51 against Penn State.
That means Central Florida will score and score aplenty, kids.
The over hits and Central Florida continues their defense of their national title with a more than two touchdown win.
Syracuse +22.5 at Clemson & over 63.5, now Syracuse +24 and 66
I gave out this bet before Kelly Bryant left the team, but I like it even more now. Syracuse is heading on the road to play a game with absolutely nothing to lose against a team with a major locker room distraction. Eric Dungey, the quarterback who lit up the Tigers last year, is on a roll and the Orange have won four straight games both outright and against the spread.
Clemson will be dealing with the distraction of Kelly Bryant's departure and the pressure is ratcheted up a great deal on Trevor Lawrence as well.
Maybe Lawrence will come out and be extraordinary, but that's a big stage to suddenly stride onto and what happens now if Lawrence gets injured? You're giving the job to another freshman to replace him.
I just don't like this situation for Clemson, especially when you're playing against a team that knows its good enough to beat you. I don't think Syracuse wins this game on the road, but I do think the points rain down and Syracuse keeps it within 14 -- remember, all Dino Babers does is cover -- which means you go 2-0 in this game.
Ohio State at Penn State +4, now Penn State +3.5
I'm headed up to Happy Valley to watch this game in person on Saturday and can't wait for the scene.
Last week James Franklin killed us with 42 straight unanswered points in his road game against Illinois and now he and his coaching staff have had an extra day to put in a game plan to prepare for Ohio State.
I think the Nittany Lions get the cover on Saturday and I think there's also a good chance they get the outright win as well.
Here's a wild stat for you, Penn State is 20-5-1 against the number over the past 26 games.
That's unbelievable.
It continues on Saturday night.
South Carolina at Kentucky pick’em on Wildcats and under 51, now Kentucky -1.5 and 49.5
The Wildcats are good and nothing about their performance so far this season has been remotely surprising. They dominated the lines of scrimmage against both Florida and Mississippi State. Meanwhile last week South Carolina also dominated the line of scrimmage against Vanderbilt.
Remember, the past two times these teams have played the scores have been 23-13 and 17-10, well under this number. What's more, Kentucky has actually won four in a row in this series.
So why was this game a pick'em?
It makes no sense to me. I think Kentucky wins this game 24-21 and you hit the cover and the under. That's why, tap the veins boys and girls, it's my double blood bank guarantee!
Florida +7.5 at Mississippi State, under 50.5, now Florida +7.5 and 50
I've had this game circled on the betting calendar for a while now because one of the games I like to bet is when an old coach plays against his former team. No one knows Mississippi State's talent -- or what frustrates their offense and defense -- better than the former coach.
That's especially the case when so much of the talent is unchanged as is the case with the Bulldogs here.
What I expect to happen is for both teams to grind it out and for the game to be low scoring and ugly.
The winning team wins by way less than a touchdown and points are at a premium.
That's why the Gators and the under is the play.
Stanford +4.5 at Notre Dame, under 52, now +5.5 and 54
This is the only game of the week that has moved against us and I don't really understand why. I mean, I get that Stanford just won an emotional game on the road against Oregon, but the Cardinal have now won three games in a row against the Fighting Irish, including the last game in South Bend, 17-10.
In fact, David Shaw has only lost to Notre Dame one time in the past five years, by three points in South Bend in 2014.
I know I was wrong about Notre Dame last weekend, but I think both of these teams will rely on their excellent defenses on Saturday night.
So give me Stanford and the under.
Ole Miss at LSU, over 58, now 59.5
Ole Miss has no defense at all.
Meanwhile LSU is back in SEC play after a wobbly performance against Louisiana Tech. My prediction? Points, lots of points. I think we see a game similar to what we saw last weekend down in Baton Rouge again this weekend with LSU putting up around 40 points and Ole Miss putting up 24.
Simple math tells me...yep, that's a cover.
...
We're going 13-0, get rich kids.
Now go buy my book, I'm making you rich with all these picks.