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This game feels like a total mismatch. The Jets offensive line struggled last week against Carolina, their defense has yet to show how bad it will be primarily thanks to Carolina’s “give it to Christian McCaffery every time” game-plan. The Patriots were in position to win a key game, with a rookie steady hand at QB and all against a very good Miami defense, that is until a rare Damien Harris fumble. This week things open up for the Pats who will use both their new tight end toys and a heavy dose of Harris again to eventually pull away from the Jets but you’ll see glimpses of Zach Wilson looking good and that may be useful to us later.
Brian Daboll (Buffalo’s OC) turned into Alabama’s Brian Daboll last week against the Steelers and they got what they deserved, a home loss. Now on the road, in-division, things stay tough for that offense and honestly, where do the points come from? We just spoke about Miami’s defense and I think it’s better than Pittsburgh’s defense so we are at a crossroads: is Buffalo dramatically better offensively this week than last? I find that difficult to put my money on because I know in conjunction Miami’s offense is not going to explode this week either. I believe Buffalo gets back to the winning, but not because they scored five touchdowns.
Be honest, you didn’t see Jalen Hurts leading Philadelphia to 32 points last week. No one did. The drip, drip, drip effect was in full bloom in Atlanta and before you know it, the Falcons had lost four touchdowns. The 49ers lit the Lions up in Detroit and allowed a million points too. I like the Eagles defense more than I probably should after 1 game considering the Atlanta offensive line was hapless at best, but this game stays a lot more competitive throughout and I think both sides are going to get theirs a few times. Give me the over.