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Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder are finally set to step back in the ring for a third meeting this Saturday (10/9) and FanDuel Sportsbook is celebrating by giving new users an opportunity to win $150 on only a $5 bet. That’s a ridiculous 30-1 odds boost just for being a new customer.
The smart money when using this offer is to bet on Fury, who is currently the favorite at -290. Without the boost, you’d need to wager an insane $435 just to win $150 at -290 odds.
I love this weekend’s schedule. We are in a sweet spot of betting. We have a good amount of data on who these teams are, we are starting to see conference play transitions and the totals/lines are coming more into focus. You and I, we are are going to make the money.
This game is historically littered with points. Last year was a maniacal score fest, tallying 98 points which obviously flew over. Recently you look at the 2-2 record on the total in this series and there’s not much to it, but three of those totals were 70+ points. These two teams are in the top 15 in scoring this season. Texas and Oklahoma have only played one game apiece against elite scoring offenses (top 25 or better) and in both of those matchups, the total went WAY OVER. I like these two teams to open up a can of offense on each other for this one with both needing legitimate momentum rocket ships.
How about this one? We get to watch two highly loved on teams that are coming off two truly humbling beatdowns last week to the two best teams in the country. What should we expect emotionally from either of them? Lane Kiffin is 2-2 at the ‘Sip after an SEC loss while Sam Pittman is 3-3, but both were hired for the weird, hard-to-figure COVID-19 season. In a broader sense, Ole Miss at least features a coach that has been in this spot before, a QB too and if I am betting on rebounds, I go with guys who wanna toss the leather. Arkansas is a fine team, but cannot keep up with a legitimate offense (TEXAS A&M HAS NOT BEEN AT ANY POINT THIS SEASON PEOPLE). If they can slow Ole Miss, maybe… but they won’t.
I WILL NOT OVERCOMPLICATE ALABAMA. Nick Saban is 24-0 against former assistants. He is also 15-8-1 ATS in those games. Average margin of victory: 25.2 points per game. Only 6 of those games have been decided by fewer than 18 points. Saban’s margin of victory against Jimbo Fisher is elite too: 18.8 points per game. Now consider those numbers are against a team that could score because this A&M team cannot. They average 23.4 points per which is 100th in the nation. This one won’t be close .
As I write, this game may already be over. Both of these teams run the ball. Air Force is #1 in America is rushing. More importantly, both of these Mountain West foes are clock-eaters and rank in the Top 25 in time of possession. The difference here is that Air Force is finding themselves n the verge of a pretty special season and are frankly, a boa constrictor on the field. This one becomes a “Air Force slowly pulls away” type of game. I love Air Force here.
I think we have been predisposed to not trust Michigan. They were a disaster last season and their record in big games under Jim Harbaugh, especially against Ohio State, has left a lot to be desired. But, let’s try and look at 2021. They are 7th in rushing, they are 16th in passing yards allowed, give up only 115.2 on the ground per outing, they only commit five penalties per game, are 12th in NET punting and allows the 6th fewest points in all the land. They are good, fam. That’s really it. This is an appreciation of the Wolverines pick. It may take a minute, but Michigan is a hoss.