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I love this weekend’s post-Thanksgiving slate. We’ve got a bunch of great games in store for us and the three I’ve got on tap below… chef’s kiss. Let’s roll.

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TITANS (+7) @ PATRIOTS

There’s trends and then there’s trends. Most of them aren’t worth the digital space they occupy. However, we all play them from time to time and sometimes one grabs us and never let’s go. This is mine for Sunday’s game. What I am about to mention to you is a trend that I cannot make sense of, despise my best rationalizing the past several weeks. It’s quite literally the only reason I am taking the Titans to cover in the road and sprinkle some extra on the moneyline for the Nashville boys outright. Since last season, Mike Vrabel is 8-2 ATS as a dog and all 8 of those covers were outright wins. That’s it. That also includes the most recent occurrence, 3 weeks ago against the Rams in Los Angeles without Derrick Henry. I assure you I have seen the triage unit that is the Titans most recent report and the smorgasbord of players that are out, but I gotta ride this one until it kicks me off.

EAGLES (-3) @ GIANTS

Four of the five Eagles’ wins this season have been on the road and I expect that to be a trend that continues Sunday. What the Giants are putting on the field in the last several weeks is a really difficult offense to watch. Some of it is injury-based, some of it isn’t. It doesn’t really matter at this point because the Giants are what they are. They made the obvious choice to fire their offensive coordinator Jason Garrett this week because… well you saw Monday’s game. The Eagles offense is getting it down on the ground (2nd in the league) with some timely aerial attacks good for a shade under 200 yards a game. It’s worked well enough. Jalen Hurts says it’s not an offensive identity. Their offensive identity is a mentality. The Giants defense is in the bottom third in every major stat including 23rd in rushing yards allowed. I don’t think Philadelphia runs them out of their building, but the Eagles are well equipped to win at a place that the Giants have only won twice.

BROWNS @ RAVENS (-3)

Lamar Jackson is back. That’s bad news for the Browns. He’s been a full participant at practice this week after missing the Bears game last week with an illness. Jackson is 4-2 against the Browns in his career and notched his first career NFL win against Baker Mayfield in 2018. He’s thrown for 10 TDs against the division foe. His counterpart is banged up, it’s obvious that he’s fighting through a lot of discomfort to try and lead this team through the rest of the season, the playoffs and a new contract. I think the Ravens are in a much better position in this one, singular game and feature a commodity I trust more right now… Lamar. It really doesn’t hurt that the Ravens are 4-1 at home. I’ll take the home 3 points here .

Written by Arky Shea

Arky is a decade plus veteran of sports talk radio and a podcaster since before it was cool (2006). He has also won many, many awards for being good at it. As you read this, he is probably working an angle to win $50 on a game and wondering when the Alabama dynasty actually will end.

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