Betting bad teams playing bad teams late in September means we may have a problem. OR, more accurately, we got ourselves a nice play. The biggest issue I always have is dealing with crummy team’s bullpens so we are going to take that out of the equation tonight. Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill has not allowed more than two runs in a home start since July 10, a run that spans seven consecutive starts. I love that consistency. Kansas City’s Daniel Lynch has allowed thirteen runs combined in his last three outings. I love that consistency too. Tonight, let’s play that history in tonight early and let’s get with the light-hitting Indians to be winning after the first five innings.
Ready for a big bang shot? Marcus Stroman has allowed 12 runs in his last six road outings. His ERA overall as a visitor this season AND at night is 2.47 and that’s going to play nicely tonight because his opponent is Eduardo Rodriguez who has himself a nice, ol’ 6.32 ERA at home and while that sets up for a big Mets’ offensive outing, they rank 24th in MLB in batting average the last two weeks. The Red Sox are 5th in average over the last 15 games and they will be battling the tough and tiny Stroman for runs and it will be tough for them to score on him. That’s why I love the possibilities here. GOOD PITCHING V. BAD HITTING AND BAD PITCHING VS GOOD HITTING MEANS A TIE! Let’s see if we can pop this big number, Mets/Red Sox tied after five.
I have been on the Alex Manoah train since late June and he’s won me a bunch of money. The guy is nails and is a bon-a-fide ace with his team winning 8 of the last 9 starts he has made, including his eight-inning, one-hit, ten-strikeout masterpiece against the Rays just eight days ago. In fact, he has three starts against Tampa, winning two and allowing just two earned runs IN ALL THREE COMBINED! The Rays bats have been quiet lately, falling to 20th in average in the fast couple of weeks whilst the Blue Jays bats are not (3rd). This game will be low scoring but I like Toronto to make us happy again tonight.