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Outkick Bets: Army vs. Navy

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Saturday returns one of the greatest traditions in all of sports, the Army-Navy game. It’s a magnificent tapestry of pageantry, pride and hard-nosed football. There is nothing that can compare to this game. It’s college football’s last remaining regular season game so that means it’s a chance for us to make some money too.

After some morning rain, it looks like the breadth of the game will be pretty mild and pleasant for the two teams. The 122nd meeting between the two will have the lowest total either one of these teams has seen on the betting line this season (34.5). Three of the past four previous meetings have gone under that number including Army’s 15-0 win. This game also has seen a whole truckload of UNDERS. In fact, the fifteen previous meetups have gone under. Army leads the nation in time of possession and rank second in rushing yards per game, grabbing just over 300 per contest. Army also boats 4 separate players that have garnered at least 400 rushing yards. Even in a down season, Navy is still 5th in time of possession and 7th in rushing yards. You know what to expect from these two, lots of ground game and that’s why I’ll still take the under in this game.

The spread in this game is a fascinating one. Army is sitting at -7.5 and is just 6-5 ATS while Navy is a tick better at 7-4 ATS and 6-3 ATS as the underdog. Army is just 2-4 ATS as the favorite. Underdogs have also covered in 10 of the past 15 games in this series. All those trends, I am bucking Saturday. Army covers the spread when they are really good and Navy is really the opposite and that’s the case this season. I’m still not pleased with the hook so I’ll wait for it just a little longer and if necessary I’ll buy it down to -7 and be happy as punch there. Army -7 AND under 34.5.

Written by Arky Shea

Arky is a decade plus veteran of sports talk radio and a podcaster since before it was cool (2006). He has also won many, many awards for being good at it. As you read this, he is probably working an angle to win $50 on a game and wondering when the Alabama dynasty actually will end.

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