Outkick and OddsShark’s Super Bowl Preview

ATLANTA, GA – JANUARY 14: Julio Jones #11 of the Atlanta Falcons reacts after a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks at the Georgia Dome on January 14, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images) Streeter Lecka Getty feed for SI

We’ve nearly made it through an entire week of Super Bowl with the Outkick show airing at 5 in the morning every day. That’s a damn impressive accomplishment in my book.

My three gambling picks for the Super Bowl are as follows”

Falcons +3, the over 58.5 and Julio Jones to win the MVP. I’m not sure what that line is at now, but I first gave it out to you at 14-1. 

Now here is the OddsShark preview below:

Super Bowl Sunday is fast approaching and there has been virtually no line movement on the point spread that sees the New England Patriots (16-2) favored by three points over the Atlanta Falcons (13-5) at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The over/under is a slightly different story, with the number inching up closer to 60 after opening as the highest total ever for the big game. So what’s the best pick worth wagering for Super Bowl LI?

Falcons vs. Patriots (-3) (Sun, February 5 at 6:30 p.m. ET) – Matchup Report

New England is just 1-4 ATS in its last five Super Bowl appearances, and the favorite has failed to cover the spread in the past five Super Bowls. None of the six Super Bowls quarterback Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick have teamed up for with the Patriots have been decided by more than four points either, with their latest victory two years ago serving as their lone win together by more than three points.

This figures to be a close game pitting the NFL’s top scoring offense against the top scoring defense, and the oddsmakers seem to have pegged the spread perfectly based on New England’s recent Super Bowl results. But the total appears to be way too high and based mainly on Atlanta’s eight straight OVER results. The total has gone UNDER in three of the previous four Super Bowls for the Patriots, so look for a lower-scoring affair, with neither team hitting 30 points.

And some Super Bowl LI betting props picks . . .

First scoring play – Field Goal or Safety (+135). While a safety is obviously a longshot as the first scoring play, a field goal is not, especially when considering how good New England’s Stephen Gostkowski and Atlanta’s Matt Bryant are as kickers

Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Atlanta wide receiver Mohamed Sanu (+160). With teammate Julio Jones garnering most of the defensive attention, Sanu should be able to find his way into the end zone (he scored the first TD in the NFC Championship Game).

New England cornerback Malcolm Butler to win Super Bowl LI MVP (+6600). A second game-saving interception might be too much to deny Butler the award this time around.


Written by Clay Travis

OutKick founder, host and author. He's presently banned from appearing on both CNN and ESPN because he’s too honest for both.