NFL Week 11 Best Bets

Week 11 started with a drubbing of the Falcons at the hands of the Patriots. We happily swept the game with three victories on the side, total, and a player prop. Coincidentally enough, we are doing a side, total, and player prop today for the Sunday slate of games.

Lions at Browns

This is the second game in a row for the Lions, it also is a game the Browns will probably look to use as a bounce back after being embarrassed by the Patriots. Baker Mayfield has been terrible for the Browns who started the season with playoff and even Super Bowl aspirations. I was personally expecting more from them with having the same coach for a second season for the first time in Mayfield’s career. The Lions are showing some fight at least. Last week I said they might win the Steelers game outright… they of course found a way to not cash that ticket by tying the game. The Lions remind me of the Jets from last season – no professional athlete wants to lose all their games. They are looking for a victory and a banged up, inconsistent Browns team is a possibility. I’m not saying the Browns lose this game. They should win it, but I don’t think they should be favored by 12.5 points either. I’m taking the points with the Lions at -112.

Cowboys at Chiefs

I was on the wrong side of this last week, but I’m going back to see if we can get some money on this one. The Chiefs looked like the Chiefs of old against the self-imploding Raiders. Tyreek Hill had a strong game, Travis Kelce racked up yards, and Patrick Mahomes threw five touchdowns and no interceptions. The Cowboys defense is better than the Raiders, but if the Chiefs figured something out, then this should be a no brainer. The Cowboys have been great this season. Dak has been just as good as he was before his gruesome injury. The Cowboys should without a doubt put up 28+ points on the Chiefs defense that hasn’t really stopped anyone this year. I’m going to take the over 56.5 points at -110 for the game.

AJ Brown

AJ Brown has been Tennessee’s best receiver this season which isn’t exactly shocking, other than the fact that Julio Jones is on the team. Unfortunately, Ryan Tannehill has not been a very consistent quarterback this year. This is a great game for Tannehill to take advantage of the Texans defense and team that has very little going for them. I’m not going to play Brown to score a touchdown because while I believe it happens, the opportunities are limited. Instead, I am taking his receiving prop of yards. He is wildly inconsistent with his yardage, and even last year against Houston, he had a game of 151 yards and one game of 58 yards. He should get more opportunity with Derek Henry out of the mix though. I’ll play him over 77.5 yards at -113.

Written by David Troy

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