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NFL Best Bets for Week 14

I normally give out a play on a side, total, and a player prop. But, we’ve had so much luck with the first touchdown plays I want to see if we can get three in a row, so I make sprinkle those in here a bit. Let’s get right to these games.

Bills at Buccaneers

I’m tired of making excuses for the Bills. They just plain suck right now. Josh Allen doesn’t look like he ever made any improvements. The defense still looks okay, but they are much less effective than they once were. They’ve hit a skid where they’ve lost all sort of consistency they had early in the season. I’m not sure you can even call them a contender anymore – at least not how they are playing now. The Buccaneers are also on a skid. They lost two consecutive games, but both were on the road. They are 9-3 and I can excuse the Washington loss, but not the New Orleans one. I expect the Bucs to get back on track now that they are at home and will play them -3.5 (I’d love 3 if you can get it or want to buy it) at -102 . Again, though, if 3 points is the norm for home field, are we saying the Bills and Bucs are equally good teams? I just can’t buy that. I will also play Leonard Fournette to be the first scorer at +600. Again, the Bills can be beaten on the ground and Fournette has been awesome lately.

49ers at Bengals

Both of these teams can put up points – I think more so the Bengals than the 49ers, but my play is not on a side. No, instead it is the total. Right now we are looking at 7 touchdowns scored for a win. Combined, the two teams average over 52 points. Defensively, they combine to average 45 points allowed. Averages don’t tell us everything, but it does give us a bit of the story. The weather should be fine in this one for the game. I think Cincinnati tries to run the ball against the 49ers defense and should be effective. Pair that with Jamarr Chase getting behind the defense a couple of times and their team should put up their share of these points. For San Francisco, they should be able to throw the ball on a Bengals secondary that is good, but not great. Points shouldn’t be hard to come by in this one.  Play over 48.5 at -114 .

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Cowboys at Football Team

The strength of the Washington Football Team is their defense. Offensively, they leave a lot to be desired but do have the potential to put up points if they need to. They just don’t want to get into a shootout, I can’t imagine they would win a lot of those. Dallas has improved their defense this season and they have the likely Defensive Rookie of the Year, Micah Parsons, and probably Defensive Player of the Year in Trevon Diggs. Offensively, the Cowboys looked amazing to start the season, but the injuries have hit them. Ezekiel Elliot looks like a shell of himself because he is banged up too. There are too many injuries and too good of defenses to play this any other way than under 48 at -106 .    

 

Written by David Troy

David is a marketing professional and former adjunct professor from Chicago, IL, husband, and father. He is an avid sports lover that has turned his focus to sports betting after originally developing a love for risk, statistics, and gambling from the Texas Hold'em Poker boom. He loves interacting with people and talking about pop culture, and obviously sports. When he isn't watching sports, he's probably coaching his kids, drinking tequila, or watching movies and tv. David may not always be right, but he will give you reasons why he is doing what he does.

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