NFL Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

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The NFC West has some talented teams. The 49ers are a few years removed from the Super Bowl, the Seahawks are consistently battling for the playoffs, the Cardinals are lead by the young Kyler Murray, and the Rams have an outstanding coach, defense, and new, invigorated quarterback, Matthew Stafford. This week brings together two of the teams, the Rams visiting the Seahawks.

So far, the home team is 3-1 on Thursday Night games with the lone loss coming as the Panthers easily defeated the Texans. The Seahawks come into the game 2-2 having lost to the Vikings and Titans. Both of those teams are also fringe playoff teams. Unfortunately, things aren’t much better than last year for Seattle. They still are allowing teams to score basically at will and still can’t protect Russell Wilson.

The Rams are coming off of their first loss on the season at the hands of the Cardinals. It was a game in which the Rams looked really bad and were outplayed in almost every aspect of the game. Sometimes it is nice to have a quick turnaround. Matthew Stafford has been good this season and now faces a Seattle defense that ranks in the bottom third of the NFL for most passing yards allowed.

For the game, I’m taking the Rams to win on the road and cover the spread. I usually love Wilson in primetime spots, but there isn’t a spot that I feel Seattle has an edge. I expect Stafford to be able to get most of what he wants against the defense, and I think that Sean McVay will have a nice game plan in response to last week’s loss. He defintiely will not want to drop to games within the division. Play the Rams -2.5 at -110.

A couple of smaller plays I like as player props – the Rams are +180 to score a touchdown as the first score of the game. This is something they’ve done in three of their first four games. I like the odds of that happening. I like the Rams overall to score first, they have the better defense (I also think the better offense). If this hits, hopefully, it is a touchdown and we cash both of them. Play the Rams to score first at -116. Finally, Russell Wilson has a line of his longest rush being 10.5 yards. With all the pressure he should expect, I could see him scrambling a bit more than usual and running for a first down. I’ll take the over on it at -114.

Written by David Troy

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