Videos by OutKick
I feel like either the Seahawks or Steelers are in every single primetime game for the NFL this season. I know that isn’t the case, but this Steelers team has I think six primetime games this season. Either way, it is the only game in town and we can break it down and bank some cash.
The Steelers are now 4-3 and have a decent three-game winning streak. Last week they outscored a Browns team that had a bit of turmoil. Before that, they played a Seahawks team led by Geno Smith, and they also beat an underperforming Broncos team at home. But, hey, a win is a win in the NFL. Now they face a Bears team that has a good defense, a quarterback that might be competent, and a terrible offensive unit overall.
The Bears are 3-5 but are committed to Justin Fields, which might be the best thing they’ve done all season. The defense still keeps them in the game most weeks, but the last three weeks, they’ve allowed at least 24 points and over 30 the last two weeks. They allowed 33 to the 49ers at home last week which was surprising considering San Francisco’s offensive struggles. Kahlil Mack is out again tonight so the defense is without their best player.
The line on this game is Steelers -7. I’m not confident enough in them to cover that spread, but I also don’t think the Bears are good enough to cover it, but the total is so low on this game that makes me believe it is likely to be a low scoring, close game. If that is the case, I’ll take the Bears and the points tonight at +7 -114 . I won’t make that a crazy big play, but Fields should be able to move the ball and the Steelers defense will be effective enough, but likely not keep the Bears from the endzone.
The other play on tonight’s game that I have is on Najee Harris. He has a receiving yard total of 30.5 . He’s second on the Steelers team in targets and he’s gone over that total in three of the four home games. Running backs have only gone over that total in two of the last five games against the Bears so I’d be okay with playing Harris over 114.5 receiving and rushing yards at -113 . I may actually play both of them as last week without Mack the Bears allowed 137 rushing yards to San Francisco running back Elijah Mitchell.