NCAAF Best Bets for Week 10

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We recently had the first listing of the College Football Playoffs. While there was controversy as always, I can’t say I was super surprised about any of it. This week brings more teams vying for a spot and it brings us a chance to make more money on a solid NCAAF season. Let’s go with a side, an over, an under, and an upset.

Tennessee at Kentucky

I really would’ve loved to get this number earlier as Tennessee was getting about four points and is now down to just a half-point. Either way, I’m taking that half point. I recognize that Kentucky is ranked and that they are at home. Tennessee to me though has a better offense and I think they will be too hard to handle for the Wildcats defense. I think Hendon Hooker is a really strong quarterback and controls the ball. Kentucky quarterback Will Levis is more prone to turnovers and I expect him to add to his total this game against a Tennessee defense that has grabbed eight interceptions on the year. It’s kind of a coin flip (-110) but I expect Tennessee to win this one. This is a complete pick’em but if you find any plus points on Tennessee, I’d take it.

Georgia Tech at Miami

Don’t look now, but Miami now has back-to-back weeks of beating ranked opponents. Are they finally starting to get into a groove after a tough schedule? Probably a combination of things, but it starts with Tyler Van Dyke doing a great job of running this offense. Right now, Van Dyke is completing about 64% of passes, which is good, but still an area I think he can improve on. Georgia Tech is allowing 252 yards through the air, so he can definitely attack them. One area we know that Miami has as a weakness is their defense. Again, they’ve played good teams but they’ve also allowed 30 points a game. Georgia Tech has a reliable offense and should be able to score regularly on Miami. I’m taking the over 63.5 at -108.

Missouri at Georgia

Georgia and Alabama are likely going to play for the National Championship. The Georgia defense is for real and has a great chance to stop anyone. That doesn’t bode well for the Tigers of Missouri though. Basically, I think this game comes down to how many points Georgia puts up. They have a good offense, and Missouri won’t intimidate them defensively, but if Georgia gives up 21 points, I’d be surprised. I’m thinking this game is an under, but I feel more confident in the first half going under as Georgia’s defense will stop Missouri in the first half and the offense will probably be rolling more in the third and fourth quarter. Play under 34.5 at -120 for the first half.

SMU at Memphis

SMU is rolling with a nice 7-1 record but coming off a loss to a Houston team they should’ve beat. I’m thinking this will be another bad spot for SMU. While SMU’s passing game is great, I think that Memphis can come up with a gameplan at home to control the clock and ball thus limiting the opportunities that SMU gets. Houston was effective at keeping pace with SMU’s offense. I believe Memphis has the same capabilities and quarterback Seth Henigan can sling it. I’m taking Memphis on the money line at +156.

Written by David Troy

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