NCAAF Best Bets for Early Week 13

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We have a few Thanksgiving Day games and a few Friday games for the early slate of College Football. Last week we had a good run in college football. Saturday alone, we made over five units on four plays. Let’s keep that momentum rolling here.

Ole Miss at Mississippi State

These teams are actually pretty evenly matched despite Ole Miss being ranked as the 9th best team in the country. One glaring advantage for Mississippi State is their rushing defense. They’ve allowed less than 100 yards per game to opposing ground attacks. That’s impressive for this late in the season. The line is moving in their favor as well, which indicates that people think Mississippi State will win this game. I’m on the other side of it though. Ole Miss lost two games, both on the road, but one was to Auburn and one was to Alabama. The Alabama one is certainly understandable, Auburn left me questioning it a bit. I think that Ole Miss should find a way to pull this out even if they struggle on the ground. Don’t bother me with the points, I’ll take Ole Miss +100 to win the game outright.

Iowa at Nebraska

Ah, those pesky cornhuskers of Nebraska. They are taking on the once mighty Iowa Hawkeyes. Nebraska has lost their last five games all of them against Big Ten opponents, and three of them have been ranked opponents. That isn’t to say that Nebraska sucks or anything – they’ve competed in just about all of them. The line is just too small for me to say that Nebraska would win or cover this. I think Iowa wins by at least three points in this game, even on the road. They seem to have gotten it all back together since their back-to-back losses against Purdue and Wisconsin. I’m taking Iowa -1.5 at -110, I’m fine with the -124 as the juice is reasonable for just the moneyline play.

Cincinnati at East Carolina

So the story in this one is obviously Cincinnati and how much they will win by. Currently they are just over a two touchdown favorite, and frankly, I think that’s a little low. I’m not playing the spread in this one at all though. East Carolina has put up points this year, they average 31 on the season. They haven’t faced a defense like the Bearcats have though. The Cincinnati defense has only allowed 16 points per game to opponents on the year. I don’t expect them to start letting their guard down now that they are closer to a playoff berth than ever. I’m taking the under on the game at 57.5 -114. Once it is posted, I’ll likely play the under on East Carolina’s team total as well.

Written by David Troy

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