MLB Best Bets for Sunday, September 5, 2021

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As usual with Sunday we have a ton of early games, so let’s not waste any time. Here are the best plays for MLB.

Tigers vs. Reds

My betting darling Casey Mize is pitching again today for the Tigers. As one of the most profitable first five-inning pitchers in baseball, today presents a wonderful opportunity to target his game. That doesn’t mean we will blindly bet it and force it either though. Reds hitters have never faced Mize, and the first time through a lineup, hitters are batting .220 against him. Luis Castillo throws for the Reds and he has faced the Tigers in a limited amount of appearances. The Tigers hitters are 7 for 28 against him, but not a single one of those hits have gone for extra bases. I like the under 8.5 on the game at +100. I also will sprinkle the game to be tied after three innings at +300. If you want to take a shot on the first five innings, the Tigers are +190 which is appealing.

Rangers vs. Angels

The Rangers and Angels are both at the bottom of the division and playoff hopes will have to once again wait until next year. However, they both are now starting to look at who can contribute next year. Taylor Hearn pitches for the Angels, and he is making his seventh start of the season. In two appearances against the Angels, he’s allowed three earned runs over five innings. In his last outing against them, he went four innings and only allowed three hits. Janson Junk makes his Major League debut today for the Angels. In the minors, he had a 2.93 ERA and got 97 strikeouts over 93 innings pitched. I am playing the draw in this game after 3 innings as an official play at +310. I think both starters make it through the lineup once without allowing a run.


Normally, I don’t advise parlays, and I won’t get into a habit of doing them regularly. However, with this one, I feel like there is a bit of leverage. I don’t like the cost of playing any of them on the run line, and the moneyline is too high. But, I do understand why each is favored and agree they should all win. The Brewers are pitching Corbin Burnes today, and he is one of the top contenders for Cy Young. The Yankees are facing the Orioles and have Corey Kluber going for them, there really shouldn’t be much of a competition in this one. Finally, the Rays are facing a guy that has a 6.71 ERA and an 8.36 ERA during the day. If you wanted to play the Rays at just a run line, that’s -113, so that one is reasonable. But, this combination pays +160.   

Written by David Troy

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