MLB Best Bets for Sunday, July 11th
1-2 on our picks yesterday. We get a win from the Yankees and lose the under 9.5 runs on a game that had 20 scored (yeesh) and somehow our pitcher for the Reds gets a goose egg for strikeouts against a strikeout happy Brewers team. Oh well, we move onto today.
Rockies vs. Padres
The Rockies at home are very strong. On the road, they are embarrassingly awful. They have an 8-34 record on the road. It's July and they don’t have double-digit road wins. That’s hard to do. Today, I don’t think it gets any closer to 10 wins for the Rockies. The Padres starter Ryan Weathers has only thrown three innings against the Rockies but has been decent. John Gray for the Rockies has a 5.16 ERA on the road but not a result of the home run ball. People are hitting him – he’s given up almost 40 hits in 30 innings. Play the Padres to win this one by more than one run (Padres -1.5 at +110).
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
The Dodgers won by three touchdowns yesterday, winning 22-1. Tony Gonsolin throws for the Dodgers, he has had good success giving up one run or less in all of his short starts (he finally pitched 5.1 innings). Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks has been pitching well of late, but will he do well enough against the Dodgers? Probably not. In 62 at-bats, he has given up 20 hits to Dodgers hitters, so they aren’t exactly struggling. I expect the Diamondbacks to get at least one run in the first five innings and the Dodgers should get three or four. I will play the first five innings over 4.5 runs at -132.
Nationals vs. Giants
Kevin Gausman for the Giants might be very well known this year if it wasn’t for Jacob DeGrom because he could be considered the Cy Young favorite. While this year has been great for him, he was hit very hard by the Nationals hitters in the past – to the tune of .337. The Giants have had some good success against the Nationals’ starter, Erick Fedde, hitting .325 against him. This game should have runs scored. Play the over 8 at -115.
