Let’s start with this: I am not an expert gambler. Do I enjoy picking football games, even if I’m wrong some — eh, let’s be honest, most — of the time? Absolutely, it’s fun and keeps me engaged.
There’s an art to breaking down film and having a take on how you believe a game will shake out, but it’s a completely different ballgame trying to pick against the spread. As much as I enjoy the attempt, I am also not going to brag about my ability as a picker.
Why? Well, my guess is the record wouldn’t be good enough to brag about — if I actually tallied it all up.
Neither is Mike Florio’s record against the spread, but we take different approaches to how we address that. I acknowledge that you don’t need to bet the milk money with my picks. If you do, that’s on you. I could maybe support fading my picks, but that would be the extent.
Florio, on the other hand, tweets that “anyone who relied on those [his] picks definitely got their money’s worth.” That would be fine, as long as it was true. But based off the record Florio gave us in the same tweet, it’s … not. Check it out for yourself.
171-97 straight up. 124-132-10 against the spread. 27-25-4 in our weekly handful of "best bets" against the spread. Anyone who relied on those picks definitely got their money's worth. https://t.co/8iwj3BScff
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) January 24, 2021
See, here is where I have to take a step back. It’s Twitter, and there is no such thing as a sarcasm font *Why is there no sarcasm font? I couldn’t tell you, but speaking from an enormous amount of experience, we sure could use it.* Anyway, that is beside the point.
The point is that I can’t tell if Florio is being serious here. It’s entirely possible, as the error in being serious should be obvious. But I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt and say it was a missed attempt at humor … maybe.
Let’s just say others are Twitter are not as lenient.
Imagine thinking this record is good enough to brag about lmao.
— Swig (@Bigg_Swig) January 24, 2021
Being under .500 is getting their money’s worth?
— Mike Green’s Missing Norris' (@MissingNorris) January 24, 2021
You don’t know how gambling works do you pic.twitter.com/1Y0Ge7oLWK
— gooner bears (@goonerbears) January 24, 2021
If you're gonna tout your record, at least have it be one where you're not down 20 units https://t.co/poT6SymqKQ
— Matt Alber (@malber9) January 24, 2021
124-132-10 ATS = -21.2 units
If someone bet $100 on every one of your picks against the spread, they’d have lost $2,120 this season.
I don’t know what’s worst, that ROI or your inability to grasp basic betting concepts. https://t.co/34H2bRiK2x
— Alex Moretto (@alexjmoretto) January 24, 2021
Legal gambling was a huge mistake https://t.co/Ir5kUfdLra
— Zach Feldman (@ZachFeldman3) January 24, 2021
Zach is wrong in that last tweet, though. Legalized gambling is going to do exactly what it was intended to do.
Follow Clint Lamb on Twitter @ClintRLamb.