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This article provided to Outkick by OddsShark, go to OddsShark for all of your gambling and informational related needs.
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Based on the last couple months since the mega-fight between two-division UFC champion Conor McGregor and undefeated welterweight boxing champ Floyd Mayweather was officially announced, you would think the latter was the underdog.
After seeing the betting line essentially cut in half at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com from the opening number, Mayweather is now listed as a -450 favorite (wager $450 to win $100) with McGregor the +300 underdog (wager $100 to win $300).
While the public definitely likes the brash Irishman to pull off the upset this Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, the value on Mayweather only seems to be increasing. As “Money” attempts to earn career win No. 50, many initially thought McGregor would be his easiest opponent in years. Now, the tides have turned, with the 40-year- old’s age and inactivity becoming major factors. The question is, are those legitimate concerns?
Mayweather has not fought since he earned a unanimous-decision win over Andre Berto on September 12, 2015. That’s almost two years ago, while McGregor has earned UFC title belts in two different weight classes since then.
The last time Mayweather scored a knockout was September 17, 2011. That’s important to know because the favored Method of Victory is Mayweather by KO, TKO or DQ at -125. A Mayweather Decision or Technical Decision is worth +250 with a Draw the biggest long shot at +3300.
Those who like McGregor tend to believe the fight will end early though, with the payback on him winning by KO, TKO or DQ nearly the same as the moneyline at +325. A McGregor victory by Decision or Technical Decision does not seem likely at all, which is why you can get +1200 on that possibility becoming a reality.
From a handicapping perspective, it really comes down to whether you think an MMA fighter can hang with one of the best boxers of all time in the ring, not the Octagon. McGregor does have a boxing pedigree, beginning his training in the sport at the age of 12. At 29, McGregor is 11 years younger than Mayweather, and he also owns a slight size advantage, with his opponent admitting publicly that both give him an edge.
The bottom line here is trying to decide if the Mayweather vs. McGregor matchup is just hype or a real battle for the ages.
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