Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead over President Donald Trump has widened in the latest national polls. RealClearPolitics’ average currently gives Biden a 7-point lead.
Biden has led in the polls since Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race. This is, however, higher than it has been. Last month, Biden held a 5-point lead over Trump.
Presumably, the swing is a result of the economy collapsing during the COVID-19 pandemic. The unemployment rate skyrocketed from 4.4% to 14.7% between March and April. It improved slightly in May, to 13.3%, but according to the federal government, the real unemployment rate is likely at least 16%.
Trump does lead Biden in some key battleground states. RCP has the president leading in the following: Pennsylvania (+4), Arizona (+1), North Carolina (+3), and Texas (+1).
These numbers are undoubtedly a good sign for Biden’s supporters but they shouldn’t plan any celebrations. For comparison, on June 4 in 2016, then-Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton led Trump by 1.5 points, according to RCP.