Outkick Election Pollwatch: Thursday, July 9

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Each Thursday, Outkick will update you on the latest polls for the 2020 Presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Here are the latest polls from Real Clear Politics:

There are not many changes from last week. The polls still favor Joe Biden to defeat President Donald Trump.

Trump did, however, gain some ground on Biden in the books in the United Kingdom. The odds currently sit at Biden 4/6 and Trump 6/4.

Outkick’s Ryan Glasspiegel broke down the change:

“This means that you’d risk $4 to win $6 on Trump to win, and risk $6 to win $4 on Biden. Thus, Trump would be +150 and Biden would be -150 on the money line. While Biden is still favored, last week at this time he was about -186 and Trump was +175. The current odds would indicate that the gambling markets believe Biden has about a 60 percent chance to win and Trump about a 40 percent chance.

Vice President Mike Pence, who had gone from 50-1 to 33-1 in the odds from two weeks ago to last week, is now back to 50-1.”

117 days away.

Written by Bobby Burack

Bobby Burack is a writer for OutKick where he reports and analyzes the latest topics in media, culture, sports, and politics..

Burack has become a prominent voice in media and has been featured on several shows across OutKick and industry related podcasts and radio stations.


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  1. There are rumors that a lot of conservatives are lying on those polls to trick the MSM. It will definitely be a weird night in November. Election day is our only real day to express freedom of speech as individuals.

  2. I think two things were learned in 2016.
    1) There is a segment of the population that does not want to admit they support President Trump for fear of being denigrated by friends, coworkers, etc.
    2) Many polls are skewed to oversample Democrats. Democrats turned out in record numbers in 2008/2012 but those appear to be outliers that can be attributed to President Obama.
    Polls going to election night were showing Hillary Clinton up 2-3 points. Polling is showing Joe Biden now up by 6-8 points, so I don’t doubt that he is winning but probably not by as much as the polls indicate. Joe Biden has effectively been hiding for 4 months as well. The Democrats probably hope he can do that until November and make the election entirely about Trump. If Biden ever hits the campaign trail again, and if/when we start getting debates, I think the race will tighten.

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