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There are so many player props that it can be overwhelming. How are you supposed to know exactly how many rebounds, points, made 3’s a player is going to make? This is why I’m here to do all of that research, so you have a better idea of where to put your money. At first, I was going to do NHL props, but those are so hard. Most of the player props are who’s going to score. When there are 30+ shots in a game and only a couple of goals, I have no idea which player will get a goal. So I instead looked at the NBA, which has hundreds of different player props.
Grizzlies vs. Jazz 9:30 p.m. ET
I decided to look at the Grizzlies and Jazz game first. I was going to look at the player props for the Knicks and Hawks game; if you’ve read my other articles, you’ll know I can’t write or think about the Knicks rationally. Especially a win or go home kind of game. Utah is looking to send Memphis home tonight and secure their first-round series in five games.
The young Grizzlies star has played great in his first playoff appearance. Memphis is in great hands, with Ja leading their franchise. The Grizzlies were able to steal one game from Utah, but it looks like it will be a gentleman sweep. Tonight’s game 5 is in Utah, and in the two playoff games played in Utah, Ja has scored 26 points and 47 points. Ja scored 23 points in-game four, and this entire playoff, Ja has averaged 31 points in the first round. Playoff Ja has really stepped up his game; during the regular season, he averaged 19.1 points. Ja is the best player and the best scorer on the team, and that has shown how many shots he has averaged these playoffs. He is averaging 22.8 FGA, 5.53 3PA, and 10 FTA. In a win or go home, Ja will be taking a lot of shots tonight, and at plus money, why not root for points?
JJJ is hard to read player. He has all of the potentials in the world but hasn’t fulfilled any of it. He deals with injury problems and can’t stay on the court since he fouls a ton. In the two games in Utah, JJJ scored 7 points and 16 points. In-game four, he had the best game of the series scoring 21 points. He is averaging 13.3 points in this playoffs, .395 FG%, only 27 minutes, and 4.3 fouls a game. He was hurt a majority of the regular season, but when he did play, he averaged 14.4 points. I see the two-time defensive player of the year Rudy Gobert shutting down the paint tonight and stopping JJJ tonight in a series-clinching game.
If this was 15 years ago, 4+ made 3’s would be a +900 bet, but this is nothing new with the NBA living behind the 3 point line. Dame Lillard last night set the playoff record for most made 3’s with 12 threes. In this playoffs, Mitchell is averaging 3 threes a game. In-game two, he went 5-10 3PT, in-game three, he went 2-10 3PT, and in-game four, he went 2-7 3PT. Last year he went nuclear from deep and averaged 4.7 threes a game. In a series-clinching game, Mitchell will put Memphis away, and that will happen from deep.
Gobert is averaging 12.5 rebounds in this playoffs compared to the regular season, where he averaged 13.5 rebounds. In the two games in Utah, Gobert has had 15 and 13 rebounds. In the last game, Gobert only had 8 rebounds. This year is the most amount of rebounds that Gobert has averaged during the playoffs. In 19-20 averaged 11.4 rebounds, and in 18-19 averaged 10.2 rebounds. I’m playing the numbers and believing the trend will keep happening.
Mavericks vs. Clippers 10:00 p.m. ET
The Clippers had finally turned things around after losing the first two games and have won the last two. They will try and keep that momentum going tonight and be one step closer to making their way to the second round.
Kawhi is the best player on the Clippers and will look to keep dominating tonight against the Mavericks. He is averaging 33 points in this playoffs and has had great playoff success; in 19-20, he averaged 28.2 points, in 18-19 30.5 points. In the first two games in Los Angeles, Kawhi scored 26 points and 41 points. In the blowout victory in game four, Kawhi scored 29 points. He will carry this dysfunctional Clippers team with his great scoring.
There’s a reason why this bet is +630; Luka is great and is averaging 33 points these playoffs. This is a bet where you try to find some great value. Last game Luka only scored 19 points and shot horribly from the field. He shot 9-24 FG, 1-7 3P, and 0-5 FT. Luka’s struggled from the free-throw line has made no sense this playoff, and it might have to do with the neck strain that he suffered. This might blow up in my face when Luka scores 45 tonight.
I’m shocked that this bet isn’t a worse line. He is only averaging 4 rebounds during these playoffs, compared to 19-20 when he averaged 8.7 rebounds. In the last game, Kristaps only pulled down 5 rebounds. This is because the Clippers are extending the court and pulling Kristaps away from the basket. In-game 4, he only played 28 minutes. Kristaps has had injury problems his entire career, and this is nothing new this year. Three weeks ago, he was on minute restrictions because of knee soreness.