All odds in this article come from our partner, FanDuel Sportsbook. Right now, new FanDuel Sportsbook users can make their first bet risk-free up to $1,000. If the bet loses, the FanDuel Sportsbook will refund you in site credit. Click here to grab this offer now.
There are so many player props that it can be overwhelming. How are you supposed to know exactly how many rebounds, points, or 3s a player is going to make? This is why I’m here, to do all of that research so you have a better idea of where to put your money. We went 3-4 with props on Wednesday, but we did hit a nice +100 and +152. As I wrote the Luka under 20.5 points, I knew it had the potential to blow up in my face, and it did. He went for over 40 points. So let’s try again and see what blows in my face tonight.
Clippers vs. Mavericks 9:00 p.m. ET
We are hitting this bet again since it cashed on Wednesday when Porzingis could pull down only 6 rebounds. This season, he is averaging just 4.2 rebounds these playoffs. Last year, by comparison, he averaged 8.7 rebounds. During the regular season, he averaged 8.9 rebounds, but the Clippers are pulling him away from the basket this series. Don’t quit if it’s working.
It’s not breaking news that Luka is amazing, but he doesn’t only do it by scoring; he grabs boards and gets his teammates involved. Last game, Luka almost hit this prop with only assists, as he had 14; adding in the 8 rebounds, he crushed this prop. During the regular season, he averaged 8 rebounds and 8.6 assists for a total of 16.6. But during this year’s playoffs, he’s averaging 8 rebounds and 9.4 assists for a total of 17.4. During last year’s playoff run, he averaged 9.8 rebounds and 8.7 assists for a total of 18.5. With Luka killing the Clippers last game, they will be throwing the kitchen sink at him, and the assist potential will be there.
With player props, it’s always nice to sprinkle in some great odds. We tried it a couple of days ago with Luka, and it didn’t work. So we are doing the same, but we are hoping for a great game tonight. In my last prop, we talked about the Clippers throwing the kitchen sink at Luka, and with that there will be great assist potential. Both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are great defenders, and I could see the Clippers trying to stop Luka from scoring and being okay with other Mavericks beating them. The Mavericks being home is also favorable since the home team gets a little help on the stat sheet, as we saw with Russell Westbrook in OKC for years.
Great players show up in win-or-go-home games, and even though Paul George gave himself Playoff P nickname, he doesn’t show up. Last year in a win-or-go-home game, he had a total of 12 points and assists. In the 2018 win-or-go-home game, he had a total of 13 points and assists. He averaged 28.5 points and assists total during the regular season, compared to the playoffs, where he has averaged 29.4. In this series, he has had a total of 28.5 three times, but none of these games was a win-or-go-home game.
I’m sticking with the belief that Playoff P isn’t going to show up tonight. During the regular season, he averaged 23.3 points a game, compared to the playoffs, where he has averaged 24.6. During last year’s playoff run, he averaged only 20.2 points. As you know, Playoff P doesn’t like showing up to win-or-go-home games. In 2018 Game Six, he scored only 5 points, and in 2020 Game Seven, he scored 10 points. During this series, he has scored over 24.5 points only twice.
The great thing with player props is, if you believe a player will play horribly, you can bet the under in every stat, and if you think he’s going to have a great game, you can bet the over. With FanDuel, they have so many player props where you can really go in on a player.