Cases are up. Deaths are down. This continues to be the storyline.
We have basically turned the coronavirus into an incredibly low death rate disease with the vast majority of the people testing positivebut having no ill effects or having minor ill effects at best.
I’m not an expert on analyzing the numbers because it is difficult to tell on a day-to-day basis but it appears that numbers in Arizona have begun to decline already. It appears the numbers in Texas may well have begun to decline. And there is a suggestion that the numbers in Florida have begun to decline as well.
I don’t know how to answer it except to say you can’t stop a virus from existing.
If you look at Europe, New York, and New Jersey, there appears to be a point in order for the virus to hit some form of herd immunity.
It appears that the numbers don’t have to be that high. Initially people were saying that you needed 60 – 70% to get to that ratio, I’m not sure if that’s accurate.
Because if you look at New York and compare it other parts of the United States and compare it to let’s say Italy, France, or Britain. It appears that there is a significant impact around 15-20% on the infection rate to hitting the tipping point.
We’ll see. The more important thing is when you look at Arizona, Texas, and Florida, it appears they learned not what to do by watching what Andrew Cuomo did in New York, by seeing what Gretchen Whitmer did in Michigan, and the governor in New Jersey.
You can’t put infected patients back into nursing homes.
As long as you don’t make the decisions that Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Michigan, Illinois, New York, Connecticut, Massachusetts — all of the states that have massive death rates — as long as you don’t put infected patients back into nursing homes, it appears that the death rates will be minimal.
I tweeted out a video the other day of a doctor who was on CNN from Tampa and he said the overall death infection rate — people that they know have the virus — is under 1% now in Tampa.
If it is under 1% in Tampa, considering that we only — according to the CDC — are catching 1 in 10 of all viral cases, that means the death rate survival now is approaching 99.9%.
We’ll have to wait and see. Surges in these states began two weeks ago. The death has not taken off in a New York-like level so far.
Will it? I doubt it because the policies in place now are a lot different now what those states put in place. So we’ll have to wait and see.