College Football Week 4 Trends

Special to OutKick The Coverage from OddsShark.com

Looking for marquee schools to cover huge point spreads in Week 4 of the college football betting season?

You might find more reasons to fade those schools, if these trends hold up.

Alabama is coming off a rare home loss and lays 38 points as of midweek at shops monitored by OddsShark.com. But in this role when laying 30 points or more, Alabama is 2-11 ATS since Nov. 2011. They are also 0-4 ATS against Sun Belt schools recently, despite pummeling them regularly.

Texas is a rare home underdog as they host Oklahoma State as three-point home pups. In 12 seasons, they have been home underdogs just nine times, but have lost eight and covered only twice.

Do you like Ohio State to cover 34 points against Western Michigan? They are 1-5 ATS the past six times laying 30 or more points. And bettors who dig Florida as small home chalk to Tennessee should know the Gators have disappointed them five straight times in conference home games.

Check out more trends and stats courtesy of OddsShark.com’s college football database.

Cincinnati at Memphis

Last time Cincinnati won as a double-digit road dog was Sept. 16, 1995 at Virginia Tech.

Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against Memphis.

Cincinnati is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.

Cincinnati is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games on the road in September.

USC at Arizona State

Arizona State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against USC.

The total has gone under in USC’s last four games on the road.

USC is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games on the road in September.

Arizona State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.

Arizona State is 6-0 SU in its last six games at home.

Texas A&M at Arkansas

Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its six games against Texas A&M

Texas A&M is 4-0 SU in its last four games.

The total has gone over in seven of Texas A&M’s last nine games on the road in September, with one push.

The total has gone under in seven of Arkansas’ last eight games.

Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games in September.

LSU at Syracuse

LSU is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games in September.

Syracuse is 3-0 ATS in its last three games against the SEC.

Syracuse is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home in September.

Georgia Tech at Duke

Georgia Tech is 9-1 SU in its 10 games against Duke on the road.

Georgia Tech is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games.

Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games on the road in September.

Rice at Baylor

Rice is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five games.

Rice is 6-0 ATS in its last six games on the road in September.

The total has gone over in five of Baylor’s last six games.

Baylor is 18-0 SU in its last 18 games at home.

Oklahoma State at Texas

Texas is 14-4 SU in its 18 games against Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last five games.

Oklahoma State is 0-4 ATS in its last four games on the road in September.

Louisiana-Monroe at Alabama

Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games.

Alabama is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home in September.

Alabama is 13-1 SU in its 14 games against the Sun Belt.

Vanderbilt at Mississippi

Ole Miss, coming off upset of Bama, riding 6-1 ATS streak when laying 20 or more points (-24.5 vs Vandy)

The total has gone under in seven of Vanderbilt’s last nine games against Mississippi.

Vanderbilt is 1-5 SU in its last six games.

UCLA at Arizona

UCLA is 3-0 SU and ATS in its last three games against Arizona.

UCLA is 8-0 SU in its last eight games on the road.

Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games at home.

Utah at Oregon

Utah (+11 at Oregon) 12-3 ATS since 1995 as double-digit road underdog

Oregon is 5-1 SU in its six games against Utah.

Utah is 6-1 ATS in it last seven games on the road.

BYU at Michigan

BYU is 5-1 ATS in its last six games.

BYU is 4-0 ATS in its last four games on the road.

Michigan is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home in September.

Mississippi State at Auburn

Auburn is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games against Mississippi State.

Mississippi State is 7-2 SU and ATS in its last nine games in September.

Auburn is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games.

Western Michigan at Ohio State

Western Michigan is 0-14 SU in its last 14 games against the Big Ten.

Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in September.

The total has gone under in 10 of Western Michigan’s last 13 games on the road.

Ohio State is 16-0 SU in its last 16 games.

Central Michigan at Michigan State

Central Michigan is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games in September.

Central Michigan is 4-0 ATS in its last four games on the road.

Michigan State is 7-0 SU in its last seven games.

TCU at Texas Tech

TCU is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 games against the Big 12.

TCU is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games.

Texas Tech is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games against the Big 12.

Massachusetts at Notre Dame

Notre Dame (-29 vs UMass) has been favored by 28 or more points just six times since 1995 — all six played UNDER.

Massachusetts is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.

Massachusetts is 0-23 SU in its last 23 games in September.

 

Written by Clay Travis

OutKick founder, host and author. He's presently banned from appearing on both CNN and ESPN because he’s too honest for both.

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