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Chiefs are Playing Light-Switch in Dangerous AFC

After 12, here is how the AFC sits:

  1. Steelers, 11-0
  2. Chiefs, 10-1
  3. Titans, 8-3
  4. Bills, 8-3
  5. Wild Card 1: Browns, 8-3
  6. Wild Card 2: Dolphins, 7-4
  7. Wild Card 3: Colts, 7-4

Pittsburgh is 11-0 and has the Football Team, Bills, Bengals, Colts, and Browns remaining. This is a 15-1 football team, 14-2 at worse. Historically, that’s enough to clinch the 1st seed and rest Week 17. Not this season.

Kansas City is just one game behind. For some reason I can’t figure out, according to ESPN’s Playoff Machine, the Chiefs have the tiebreaker over the Steelers in most scenarios.

But Kansas City is playing a dangerous weekly game of light-switch, turning it on and off. This season, it has gotten them only once, against the Raiders. But it will get them again. With the Dolphins, Saints, and sometimes-hot Falcons remaining — the Chiefs will lose at least one more game.

As talented as they are, the Chiefs cannot bank on winning out by playing well one and half quarters a game. Hopefully, their inevitable loss comes in the regular season, not in the lose-you-are-out playoffs.

I’d bet the season ends with the Steelers one game ahead of the Chiefs, avoiding a tiebreaker.

Buffalo is quietly doing really well. While its early-season loss to the Titans could determine seeding, the 3rd seed isn’t necessarily better than the 4th this season.

The AFC Wild Card race is a maze among the Browns, Dolphins, Colts/Titans, Raiders, and Ravens. Of the pack, Vegas is the team to fear. At 6-5, the Raiders are more likely to enter as the 7th seed to face the 2nd seed. Chiefs-Raiders, part III. Who says no?

Miami has the fifth toughest remaining schedule. Baltimore has the easiest. A swap is plausible, though the Dolphins are currently the better team.

All five teams should end up around 10-6 or 11-5, creating confusion so frustrating that fan bases will question tie-breaking legitimacy.

*Here is OutKick’s NFC breakdown.

Written by Bobby Burack

Bobby Burack covers any news story that deserves attention but focuses on media. His interests include reading Stephen King novels, avoiding traffic on the road, and pretending to solve true-crime mysteries. He still believes Cersei should've won and encourages everyone to always question the news.

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