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Another very good week as we went 10-3 straight up in our Confidence Pool picks, but the Cowboys cost us dearly with their loss to the Titans. We move on to Week 10, where we rate our most confident straight up pick from (14) (four teams on a bye) all the way to our least confident (1). The point spread on each game is in parentheses but these picks are not against the spread.
Week 9 Straight Up Record: 10-3 (68 of possible 91)
14. Chiefs: Cardinals at Chiefs (-17): Unless you’ve been living on an island with no form of communication then there are no questions to be asked or a contrarian view to be taken on this lopsided mismatch. Sportsbook Review’s best online sportsbooks are dealing Kansas City as a whopping 17-point favorite, and although they may get bored and allow the Cards a backdoor cover, there’s no chance they lose this one at Arrowhead.
13. Rams: Seahawks at Rams (-10): The LA juggernaut was derailed down on the bayou last week, but that makes this a game of redemption for the Rams. If the Hawks come out as flat as they did at home last week against the Bolts then this will be a blowout.
12. Jets: Bills at Jets (-7): How bad must your team be if the oddsmakers at the best online sportsbooks are dealing the 3-6 Jets as touchdown or better favorites? The Bills are indeed that bad and are on auto-fade until they prove otherwise.
11. Packers: Dolphins at Packers (-9½): The buildup regarding the Packers vs. Patriots last week focused exclusively around who’s better: Rodgers or Brady? In fact, that argument for greatest of all time should be Brady, Peyton Manning and Joe Montana. Rodgers is the next click down from that rarified air, but he’s still stinging from that loss last week in New England and will take it out on the Fish.
10. Chargers: Chargers (-10) at Raiders: Speaking of horse-bleep teams, Jon Gruden’s Raiders fit that bill and the only reason the Chargers aren’t higher on the totem pole is that they are in hostile territory, which can sometimes evince a better than usual performance from the home dog. That said, it’s the Raiders, so all bets are off on pride getting in the way of another Oakland defeat.
9. Patriots: Patriots (-7) at Titans: Tennessee has a little more bounce in their steps after shaking off the first-quarter funk of last week’s game and forging a victory over the Cowboys in Jerry’s World. However, as impressive as that victory was, they are still playing New England and the Pats don’t lose during this point in the season. They are 6-1 against the spread over their last seven when installed as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and a sparkling 17-3 straight up over their last 20 on the road.
8. Eagles: Cowboys at Eagles (-5½): Carson Wentz and the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles are trending up, while the Cowboys’ season could very well be done after their loss to the Titans last week. Philly just has to step on Dallas’ neck to put them out of their misery.
7. Bears: Lions at Bears (-6½): The Lions have been giant slayers this season with wins over the Patriots and Packers but lately their offense has stalled and new head coach Matt Patricia seems to be losing control over his charges. We’ll back the better team off a dominating victory in Week 9.
6. Falcons: Falcons (-4) at Browns: We knew it was just a matter of time before Matty Ice and the gang got their groove on, and that’s bad news for an improved Cleveland team with a QB in Baker Mayfield who looks like the real deal. The Dirty Birds have won and covered three straight at the best online sportsbooks, while the Brownies have dropped four in a row. Two teams moving in opposite directions.
5. Colts: Jaguars at Colts (-2½): If you had to predict what the line would be in this AFC South showdown before the season began there would be varying opinions but virtually all would have pegged the Jags as road chalk. However, Jacksonville is done, stick a fork in them, and Andrew Luck is just starting to roll.
4. Steelers: Panthers at Steelers (-4 ½): Thursday night game. The Cats are getting tons of street cred for their three consecutive victories over good teams, but Pittsburgh has quietly manufactured four straight wins and in a battle of offenses we’ll side with Big Ben and a Pittsburgh defense that hasn’t allowed more than 21 points since Week 5.
3. Giants: Giants (+3) at 49ers: Although Nick Mullins is being hailed as the next Joe Montana in the Bay Area, we’re not sold on one lone performance. The Giants have had two weeks to prepare and experience will win the day over what could be a one-hit wonder.
2. Bucs: Redskins at Bucs (-3): The Bucs may have a putrid defense, but they put points on the board in a hurry. The opening line has gone from a pick’em to Tampa Bay as three-point favorites. That’s a big swing which means the sharps are backing the Bucs … and so are we.
1. Bengals: Saints at Bengals (+4): If ever there was a trap game, this is it. New Orleans derailed the Rams last week and put the first blemish on what was LA’s perfect record. Next week they face the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles and Cincinnati could be a road trip they’ve already forgotten about. The Bengals are also off their bye week and should be fresh, eager, and ready to roll against a Saints team that now has a bullseye on their backs.
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