Cardinals Will Stay Alive With A Game 2 Win Vs. Phillies

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The Philadelphia Phillies (1-0) hope to eliminate the St. Louis Cardinals (0-1) in Game 2 of their best-of-three National League Wild Card Series at Busch Stadium Saturday.

St. Louis jumped ahead with a 7th-inning pinch-hit 2-run blast from Cardinals OF Juan Yepez Saturday. Then Philly pulled off a stunning 6-run rally in the top of the 9th to steal Game 1, 6-3.

Phillies starting RHP Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA) takes the ball while Cardinals RHP Miles Mikolas (12-13, 3.29 ERA) tries to extend the series to a decisive Game 3.

Betting Details (DraftKings)

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies (-120), CARDINALS (+100)
  • Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+150), Cardinals +1.5 (-175)
  • Total (O/U) — 6.5 — O: -115, U: -105

BET: Cardinals’ ML (+100), down to -120

Cardinals Miles Mikolas (Joe Puetz/Getty Images)

Nola was brilliant in Philly’s playoff-clinching win at the Houston Astros Oct. 3 but Nola has struggled vs. tough competition otherwise this season.

The Phillies are 5-13 when Nola starts against teams with a winning record. Philly is 4-8 (1-4 on the road) as favorites when Nola faces winning teams.

Mikolas’ numbers improve vs. winning teams on the other hand. His ERA (4.04-2.49), WHIP (1.13-0.93), K/BB rate (4.28-3.62) and opposing OPS (.686-.590) are all better against teams above-.500 compared to losing teams.

Also, Mikolas is lights out at home. He is 6-3 in 14 home starts this season with a 2.38 ERA (4.10 road ERA), 0.84 WHIP (1.21 road WHIP) and 4.60 K/BB rate (3.50 road K/BB rate). STL is 3-2 with a +20.9% return on investment (ROI) in Mikolas’ home starts vs. teams with a winning record.

Philly is 2-4 when Nola starts against the Cardinals in STL with a -30.1% ROI over his career. This includes a Cardinals’ 6-1 victory over Nola and the Phillies on July 11. Oh, STL’s starter for that game was Mikolas.

Go to DraftKings Sportsbook and BET the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (+100), down to -120.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, Oct. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Listen to the ‘OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark’ podcast HERE.

Written by Geoff Clark

Geoff Clark serves as OutKick’s sports betting guru. As a writer and host of OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark, he dives deep into the sports betting landscape and welcomes an array of sports betting personalities on his show to handicap America’s biggest sporting events.

Previously, Clark was a writer/podcaster for USA TODAY's Sportsbook Wire website, handicapping all the major sports tentpoles with a major focus on the NFL, NBA and MLB.

Clark graduated from St. John University.

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