Videos by OutKick
If you’ve been following our weekly NFL underdog plays, then you are raking! Two weeks ago, we had the Redskins and Chiefs, both dogs that covered, but last week we not only beat the spread with the Browns and Seahawks but both pups won outright and cashed on the money line! You want more? Then read on and get down on these potent pups!
Panthers (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) at Bucs (4-7 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) – Sunday, 1 PM ET
The best online sportsbooks, found over at Sportsbook Review, are hanging the Panthers as 3½-point favorites over their hosts, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Clearly, the public perception of these teams is a bit askew … as in they’re favoring the wrong team. But, hey, if the masses are willing to lay points on a struggling road club, then who are the bookmakers to stop them? Let the lemmings walk over the cliff one by one because the sharps will see real value in the Bucs.
So, here’s the long and short of it all. Tongues may wag about the shock and awe campaign being waged by Drew Brees and the boys down on the bayou, or Jared and the Juggernauts out in LA, but guess which team has the most passing yards per game? Raise your hands kids. Ah, yes you in the Bucs jersey with Winston on the back. Whatcha got? Ah, no, it’s not the Dolphins, it is in fact another team from the Sunshine State, your own Tampa Bay Bucs! And it’s not even close because Tampa Bay is averaging over 355 passing yards per game while No. 2 in that category, the Pittsburgh Steelers, check in at 325 yards per contest. And the best part of this matchup is that the Carolina Panthers are about as adept at defending the pass as a fat guy is at pole vaulting.
The wild card in all of this is the mercurial Jameis Winston, but the thing with him is that he’s either on an uptick or a downtick. Last week he was rock solid against the 49ers with two touchdowns strikes and 312 passing yards in Tampa’s 27-9 victory. OK, so it was the lousy Niners but again, even San Francisco owns a statistically better pass D than the Panthers. Winston realizes that his once surefire $21 million team option in the fifth year of his rookie deal is no longer a given. However, if he can play mistake free football as he did last week, the dough is his and even Winston isn’t oblivious to that fact. Expect the Bucs to cover and win this one outright.
Jets (3-8 SU, 3-8 ATS) at Titans (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) – Sunday, 4:05 PM ET
So, we know the Jets are bad and the Titans are … mediocre. And we also know that Tennessee averages just over 17 points per game yet the oddsmakers opened the Titans as high as 10½-point favorites. Unfortunately, the early birds made that number disappear because even a little rudimentary math will tell you that if the Titans average 17 points then all the Jets have to do is score a touchdown to get the cover. So, that number is long gone and nowhere to be found but the line is still hanging at between 7½ and 9 points, depending on where you shop.
We like to get the biggest bang for our buck, which is why multiple outs are a must. Why take a lousy line because you’ve only got an account at one book? Stop the nonsense and get yourself three or even more outs but choose wisely and check out the best online sportsbooks, all over at Sportsbook Review.
It looks more than likely that old man Josh McCown will be slingin’ for the Jets and that’s not a bad thing. At this point of the season, New York should keep the rookie Sam Darnold on the shelf, allowing both his foot and his psyche to heal. McCown has had two games to shake off the rust and was serviceable in defeat last week against the Patriots. And add to all of this that the Titans are working on a short week after getting beaten by the Texans on Monday night. The Titans may win, but it will be by less than a touchdown so get down on the Jets and build your bankroll up.