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Ravens (+4) at Steelers
Tuesday, the line was Ravens +5, which I loved. I’m less confident with the slight shift, but I still recommend it.
Week 8, the Ravens outplayed the Steelers, controlled the game — yet lost, 28-24.
Baltimore must win if it wants a playoff spot. It won’t be easy. Running backs Mark Ingram and J.K. Dobbins tested positive for COVID-19 and are out. Their absence will put more pressure on Lamar Jackson against the NFL’s top defense.
I’m fearful this goes sideways, but I am taking the Ravens to keep it close and cover.
Chiefs at Bucs (+3.5)
This line is shocking.
Vegas continues to overvalue Kansas City. The Panthers and Raiders both had their way against the Chiefs and easily covered. Kansas City’s defense is getting worse by the week.
Yes, Tom Brady looked finished Monday night. But who the hell bets against a desperate Tom Brady playing at home after a nationally-televised L?
Tampa has more talent than Vegas and Carolina. If the Chiefs play the way they have the past two weeks, the Bucs not only cover but win.
Too easy. Run with Tampa +3.5
Bucs win, 34-30.
Texans (-3) at Lions
The Lions couldn’t even score last week. Matt Patricia is a joke. Detroit notoriously ruins Thanksgiving.
I don’t care what the line is or which team they face. Bet against the Lions.
No score needed.